How Andy Roddick Can Beat Roger Federer Today at Wimbledon
by Sean Randall | July 5th, 2009, 8:38 am
  • 259 Comments

Instead of going into why Roger Federer will beat Andy Roddick this morning to claim his 15th career Grand Slam title, passing Pete Sampras, I thought I’d write a post offering a flip-side view. A view that Roddick actually can beat Federer.

It’s a true longshot, and one if it came to pass would rank among biggest upsets in tennis history. Given Roger’s 18-2 lopsided head-to-head advantage, his domination on grass and his ability to seize major moments – Roger’s never lost to anyone but Rafael Nadal in a Grand Slam final – there’s very little support out there for American Andy.

And I think even Andy would agree with that, but the American does have a chance, albeit a very slim one. But there are some things I think he can do to tip the scales in his favor.

First, Roddick has to serve absolutely massive. But that’s not as simple as duplicating his serving performances against Andy Murray or Lleyton Hewitt. Over the course of their matches, Federer’s always had a good a read on Roddick’s serve. But Federer does say that some days he simply doesn’t. Unfortunately for Roddick those days are usually at night or indoors under the lights, conditions Roddick will likely not have today (rain dance?). And if Roddick is not serving near 70% first serves and/or cracking aces he’ll go down in straight sets. So hit your serve Andy, and hit it hard.

Since Federer is such an incredible front runner, Andy will be best served to jump on top of Roger early. To me that means getting really aggressive when returning serve and attacking Roger during his first few return games. Maybe he can sneak an early break and steal the first set. Maybe not.

Roddick also has to get as many balls back into play as possible during rallies. That doesn’t mean blasting winners, but rather making Roger hit that extra shot. Federer likes the pace and if Roddick gives him a steady diet of fuel it’s advantage Swiss. But the longer the rally goes perhaps the better chance Andy can lull Roger into throwing in a shank or supplying an unforced error (yes, it’s a stretch I know!).

However, that said I would still like to see Andy go after Roger’s serve and take some chances.

There’s been lots of talk about Roddick’s improved net play. Personally, his approaches and his net game are just not strong enough to win him a Slam against a guy like Federer. My preference would be for Andy to stay away from the net, only coming in when a positive outcome is all but assured.

Andy needs to get into tiebreaks! Roddick has to be riding an absolute tiebreak high. The 26-year-old has won 16 of his last 17 tiebreaks or so since Indian Wells so if he can reach that stage of a set he’ll have to be feeling confident.

Roddick’s also been stealing a page from the Federer book, specifically Federer’s “chip and dip” strategy he often employs to sucker guys into the net. Roddick been using it for quite a while now, but against the inventor, I think Andy should shelve this tactic. I don’t think he has the touch to pull the shot off against a player who has the net game of Federer.

And above all Andy’s has to have belief. Andy was a bit emotional after beatin Murray, mentioning that he was unsure of whether he’d ever have another chance at a Slam final. Well, he now has that opportunity and he has to go for it. He cannot be content and happy just by reaching the final. And I don’t think he will be. And he has to forget that he’s only won two sets in seven meetings with Roger in Slams.

Overall, the game plan I would set out for Federer is simple. Smash serves, smash return of serves, otherwise keep the ball in play using the slice and the backhand down the line to get Roger stretched wide. Roddick will also have to be closer to the baseline to account for Federer’s added dropshot.

Of course this match really rests of Federer’s racquet. If he comes out, plays his game he’ll win. If he’s missing his groundstrokes and off his game, then Roddick has a chance if he does the right thing. But on this stage with what’s in front of Federer, it really is a tall ask.


Also Check Out:
Andy Roddick: I Haven’t Played My Best Since April 2009
Roddick Surprises Murray, Meets Federer in Sunday Wimbledon Final
Andy Roddick on Williams Sisters Return: “Women’s Tennis Needs That Dominating Figure”
Opinion: Which Roddick Will Show at Washington?
Roddick Faces Chardy in Tokyo; Wozniacki Bids for No. 1 in Beijing

Don't miss any tennis action, stay connected with Tennis-X

Get Tennis-X news FREE in your inbox every day

259 Comments for How Andy Roddick Can Beat Roger Federer Today at Wimbledon

Tennisfan Says:

… he can hope that Federer doesn’t show up :)


Tennisfan Says:

Sean: You should have stuck with the first article you were planning to write :)


Shaky Says:

Is NBC going to cover this at 9 eastern? no tape delay?


Sean Randall Says:

Tennisfan, I appreciate the love.

Shaky, yes. Live. No tape. Thank God!


tenisbebe Says:

To Andy Roddick:

Great moments… are born from great opportunity. And that’s what you have here, today, Andy. That’s what you’ve earned here today. One match. If you play him ten times, he might win nine. But not THIS match. Not TODAY. Today, you hit with him. Today, you stay with him. And you shut him down because you can! Today, YOU are the greatest tennis player in the world. This is your time. Now go out and take it!!!


Tennis Freak Says:

Morning, guys !


Shaky Says:

Holy crap, Pete’s there with wife.

do you think they think Fed’s going to win?


Tennis Freak Says:

Wow, Sampras just graced the arena. All the great are present.


tenisbebe Says:

Pete’s there! That’s great. Mornin T-Feak


tenisbebe Says:

Nice pass ANdy!!


tenisbebe Says:

Oops “Mornin T-Freak”


Tennis Freak Says:

Both are holding serves fine.


Shaky Says:

Andy came to play so far. In times past if he approached I felt like Roddick never ever came up with a strong pass. On the other side, it always felt like Federer would come up with passes or, failing that, Roddick would blow a easy/medium volley.

I like this so far.


Sean Randall Says:

Fairly predictable start. Positive for both guys. Roddick does have 3 nice passing shots!


Tennis Freak Says:

A-Rod hit a couple of good passing shots. 5 aces for Fed already.


Pro_B Says:

Whoa! What a point!


Tennis Freak Says:

How was Fed able to track that volley down? Wow !


Sean Randall Says:

Roddick adds another passing shot. He’s up to four. Both guys serving big.


Cindy_Brady Says:

Federer is holding serve easier than Roddick.


Tennis Freak Says:

As always, Fed’s movement is the best, positions him to any shot.


Von Says:

Pro B and tennisbebe: Hello, good to see some Roddick fans around.


Sean Randall Says:

Fast paced first set. Roddick doing very well. Federer had some small chances but missed a couple easy ground strokes here and there.


Cindy_Brady Says:

Sampras, Borg, and Laver all together are quite a site!


Von Says:

tennisbebe: I saw your post on the Hockey team’s coach’s speech. I hope Stefanki said the same to Roddick.

It’s cape diem for Andy!


tenisbebe Says:

Mornin’ Von! Good start for both. Let’s go Andy!


Tennis Freak Says:

Cindy_Brady,
Those are details, do not matter if they don’t creep into affecting the overall outcome of each game.
——————-
Woody Allen and Russel Crow, 2 of best are in the audience.


Von Says:

oops, I mean carpe diem — seize the day.
_________________
T-Freak: Hello to you too. I’ve taken out my Purple heart. ha ha.


Von Says:

See you guys later.


Shaky Says:

… Don’t let it happen Andy. Nice body serve, now don’t throw away this set.


Tennis Freak Says:

Looks like we’re heading into a tie-breaker. Roddick has to be careful here, 0-30. 15-30. 30-30. 2nd serve. 30-40. 1st break point. 2nd serve. Challenge from Fed. Deuce.


tenisbebe Says:

Yes!!! He get’s out of that and holds.


Sean Randall Says:

Nice escape for Roddick there. He was under pressure. Roddick really needs to stay with the gas. Fed’s on the slice serves.


Von Says:

Great hold Andy, make him work. If Federer wants this then make him fight for in the breaker.


Tennis Freak Says:

New A-Rod. Ad for A-Rod. Deuce. Mishit slice. Old Roddick shows up. 2nd break point for Fed. Good serve, 138 mph. Deuce. Missed backhand. 3rd break point. Long from Fed. Challenge from break. Deuce. Beautiful forehand from Fed. 4th break point. Out. Challenge from Fed. It’s out. Deuce. Lost Forehand. Game point for A-Rod. Game. This is new Roddick.


Pro_B Says:

Thanks Von, But i’ll always be a Fed fan first! :)


tenisbebe Says:

YESSSSSSSSSSSSSSS!!


Sean Randall Says:

A couple of careless errors from Fed, and voila. First set to Roddick!

Great first set from Roddick who didn’t overhit, kept it simple and served bombs.


Von Says:

Yeah, whoa roddick breaks, sock to him Andy!


Von Says:

Pro B: It’s Ok you’re a Fed fan, at least you’re a nice one!


Tennis Freak Says:

It is still a 50-50 match.
A-Rod gets 1st set point. He takes it.


NachoF Says:

Wow, that was quick.


tenisbebe Says:

Hold this first game Andy – molto importante!


Tennis Freak Says:

Von,
If you leave today, I will be your public enemy number 1. I am serious.


Von Says:

TF: I’d love to stay, but? …. that’s for me to know and you to find out why I don’t want to do so. LOL.


Tennis Freak Says:

At this point, this is looking similar to the Murray match. A few decimal points better actually for A-Rod.


tenisbebe Says:

Yes! Andy holds. Fed looks a little flustered right now, if that’s even possible.

Cindy_Brady – Your quiet now.

T-Freak – “Von,
If you leave today, I will be your public enemy number 1. I am serious.” I think her TV is in one room and the computer in another; hence she cannot post while watching. She has mentioned this before.


Sean Randall Says:

Andy playing near perfect. Roger’s played well, just had a bad patch at the end of the first set. And on grass that’s all it takes.


tenisbebe Says:

I noticed in the Murray match how Roddick is taking his time now on big points and it seems to be helping. He drove me crazy with his rush, rush, rush in tight situations. Mac mentioned it & I thought I would post too.


Tennis Freak Says:

I think this is the 1st time Fed got broken and lost a set in this tournament.


Cindy_Brady Says:

Oh please tenisbebe,

Roddick has gotten a set over Federer before at Wimbledon. I even predicted it.

Trust me, Fed will put the clamps down soon. Roddick is playing above his head.

It’s just a matter of time!!


Tennis Freak Says:

T-bebe,
“I think her TV is in one room and the computer in another; hence she cannot post while watching.”
That’s funny and pain in the …


Tennis Freak Says:

CB is shitting her…just kidding.


Cindy_Brady Says:

Tennis Freak,

I am as high tech as they come. You have no idea, Oh silly one!

Back to the tennis action!


Von Says:

TF: tennisbebe is right. My computer is in my office and I’m watching TV in the family room so I have to walk back and forth. I could watch live streaming, But that’s not the real reason — I can’t stand the negativity from some.


Tennis Freak Says:

I like this fan showing a sign that read Andy Murray Roddick, Murray crossed out.


tenisbebe Says:

CF – “…Roddick has gotten a set over Federer before at Wimbledon. I even predicted it…”

You and about 5,000,000 other people. My point is you claim to be an objective observer with no faves yet you made no comments in summation at the end of the first. Strange.


Tennis Freak Says:

CB is totally busted, T-bebe. ha..ha


Tennis Freak Says:

Another tie breaker coming.

Where is Jane? Is she still in vigil? Time to break the vigil, girl; you are going insane in that thing.


Cindy_Brady Says:

tenisbebe,

I stand by my original analysis. Nothing that has happened that surprised me. Federer will raise his level just a notch and take the 2nd set. Roddick will press a little bit and Federer will take the 3rd 6-3 or 6-4.


Tennis Freak Says:

As much as I’d like that result, if it does not turn out that way, should I declare you insane, CB?


Tennis Freak Says:

A-Rod has a mini break. Be careful, Fed.


Sean Randall Says:

There’s that backhand down the line from Roddick. This match is his.


Tennis Freak Says:

A-Rod holds both and takes another break, 5-1, and is in a position to take the 2nd set. Ok, it’s 5-2.


Tennis Freak Says:

Fed lost this set, getting scarier. Can he come back, if he loses this set?


Shaky Says:

… Andy… WHAT THE HECK WAS THAT BACKHAND VOLLEY?

!@#$


Tennis Freak Says:

Fed takes one back, Still in the set.


Shaky Says:

Tennis Freak… you’re doing it AGAIN. I think you just jinxed it.


Pro_B Says:

CMON FED!


Tennis Freak Says:

It’s close now. 6-5. Can Fed take one? Can A-Rod serve out? He missed. 6-6.


Sean Randall Says:

Wow! Roddick duffs a volley on set point. Then makes a poor choice to approach. Set to Federer. How quickly things change.


NachoF Says:

hahaha… and you guys said Roddick had this one.


Tennis Freak Says:

That was a big miss from A-Rod.


Cindy_Brady Says:

*Yawn*

So predictable!

It’s boring always being right…


tenisbebe Says:

AHHHHHH!! Crappola – hopefully the giant has not been awakened. That was Andy’s set for the taking. Huge, huge miss.


Shaky Says:

omg… if he loses this match, that backhand volley is going to haunt him forever. It was a stretch but he should have been able to put it away.

=( Time to start drinking.


Tennis Freak Says:

Old Roddick creeps in. Fe is gonna win the set now.


Sean Randall Says:

Fed should have won the first set. Roddick should have won the second set. In some ways justice, but not sure how Roddick is going to deal with that 6-3 lead in the tiebreak.


Von Says:

Does this %^&*(()0 ever shut up. I never curse here but this is one time I’d like to.


Kimo Says:

OMG. Roddick is playing the tennis of his life at the moment, and just when you thought that stars were aligned for him today he misses 6 points in a row after being 6-2 up in the TB!!!!

WOW. What a match!!! Thank you Andy.


Tennis Freak Says:

That was a total mental collapse from A-Rod. Good that the match is back to the beginning now, and the only difference now it is best of three.


Kimo Says:

Looks like Fed finally found his inspiration.

About effin’ time!!!


Kimo Says:

And btw, just beofre any idiot says anything: Roddick didn’t choke. Sure he was little tight on that backhand volley, but who wouldn’t when you’re playing Federer in a Wimbledon final and have a chance to go 2 sets up?


Cindy_Brady Says:

Roddick has been serving at about 80% in the mid to high 130s.

No one can keep that pace up and we haven’t seen the best that Federer can offer yet.

Roddick’s hands of stone are showing.


NachoF Says:

Kimo,
exactly.. who wouldnt ‘choke’ when you’re playing Federer in a Wimbledon final and have a chance to go 2 sets up?


Shaky Says:

Ugg you know Roger earned every one of those points to come back but that one volley. One freaking volley for it all.

Vodka and cran, down the hatch.

Andy’s still in this if he keeps serving 80%. Not over yet, not by a long shot.


Von Says:

You know, ever since Roddick beat Murray all we’ve had is this ^&*&() spewing negative garbage. We’ve not been allowed one positive moment. sheesh.

TF: I’d like to stick around but I’m outta here. I leave the old bag with the iron pants to spew her $^&*((


Shaky Says:

The announcer said it looked like Fed sort of shanked the pass and it threw Rod off? Does that sound right. Man I wish I had Tivo.

Just keep serving and coming in. Fed is like 4 for 50 on passing shots today.


Kimo Says:

I believe Sean got it right: Fed should have won the first set, Roddick should have won the 2nd.


Von Says:

One last thing before I go. There are many who criticize the big servers, but Federer relies on his serve very heavily to win nowadays. Has anyone noticed?


NachoF Says:

What is Von talking about?


Tennis Freak Says:

A-Rod had sort of match point there. Fed has turned it around. A-Rod will regret big time if that tiebreak (4-set point) is to become the turning point of the match later. A-Rod must win this 3rd set to send a message that he is in to win.

Personally, I am looking for a 5th setter final. This set, I am rooting for A-Rod, and next 2, I will be, back to, rooting for Fed.


Cindy_Brady Says:

NachoF Says:

What is Von talking about?

She has a coupon at the market for sour grapes…

By the end of this match she is going to explode fruit!


tenisbebe Says:

Von – don’t leave. We need POSITIVE vibes for Andy. CF is just being an annoying mistress of the obvious adding nothing insightful to the conversation despite her 45 yrs of observations. Don’t let her get your goat, let Andy get her GOAT by winning.


Kimo Says:

Von: I agree, but his baseline game is what got him to the top of the tennis world.

But, yeah you’re right.


Sean Randall Says:

Roddick saves what I would call a virtual match point for Federer there. Couple timely volleys to help him escape. If Federer gets this set I don’t think Andy can recover.


tennismonger Says:

Roddick is hanging on…if he can just maintain the focus/intensity & not think about the last set he still has a chance I think -


tenisbebe Says:

Fed’s been very open about the fact that he has not been able to rely on the free points generated from his serve in the past year and that has hurt him. No shocker there.


Tennis Freak Says:

I agree, Sean, but close to the same could have happened if A-Rod had won the 2nd set, which would make any player tentative.
Right now, Fed has the match under control.


rose Says:

well..all i have to sya is that Im very impress with andy..he is playing great and roger is playing good as well..it is funny how some people always say that if federer has a tight match he is not playing his best tennis….give some credit to the other player…let the best win !!!!


Kimo Says:

Andy will be under huge pressure in the coming game. I wouldn’t be surprised if he slows down his 1st serves a few mphs.


Pro_B Says:

Looks the real Roger has finally turned up!


Sean Randall Says:

Federer really humming on his serve now. Roddick’s first serve pct. has dropped. Break coming?


Von Says:

andy needs to remember what got him to the final. If he can beat Berdych, Hewitt and Murray, he can beat Federer.


sensationalsafin Says:

Von, Hewitt + Berdych + Murray doesn’t equal Federer. Not even close. About 12 slams too short there.

But Roddick’s far from out of this. Still on serve in the third.


tennismonger Says:

Sean Randall Says:

Federer really humming on his serve now. Roddick’s first serve pct. has dropped. Break coming?

Roddick held – how about a break for him now?


Von Says:

Andy should challenge some of those bad serve calls. They look awfully close to me. He’s very lackadaisical about his challenges.

___________________
SS: I agree, but they were very tough competitors.


Lenny Says:

Phew! We made it to a tie-break. Pleeeeez pull this one out Andy


sensationalsafin Says:

Berdych is naturally dangerous, but his mental strength is leagues and oceans and worlds below Roddick’s.

Hewitt is far past his prime. And Murray is still getting to his prime. No one’s as tough of competition as Federer.


Kimo Says:

Before this match Roddick was what? 26-4 in TBs?

And now he loses the two most important TBs of his life. I feel for him.


Lenny Says:

Bye Bye Andy :( Bye Bye Rafa’s no. 1


Tennis Freak Says:

Fed takes the lead now.


Pro_B Says:

Fed 2-1 up. Methinks the match dynamics may just have changed. Poor Mirka through, this cannot be good for the pregnancy!


Cindy_Brady Says:

Just finished my palates workout. Sipping lemonade now watching this fantastic Federer finish.

Roddick’s 1st serve percentage is dipping. Fed should get a groove and break him in the 4th to avoid another tie breaker.

Roddick doesn’t have a prayer of breaking Federer now.


NachoF Says:

Its not like Federer loses most of his tiebreaks etiher though….Federer winning in tbs is no surprise at all.


Von Says:

There are stil 2 more sets to go. If Roddick wins the 4th, then it’s anyone’s match.


Von Says:

Somebody’s dentures need a good cleaning.


Tennis Freak Says:

I saw Fed’s rare fist pump today.


tenisbebe Says:

Definitely Andy’s 1st serve % has come down while Fed’s seems to be going up. What’s the UE count thus far? I’m still hopeful for Andy. He’s hanging in there.


sensationalsafin Says:

I hope it goes 5


Kimo Says:

I missed the beginning of the match. can anyone tell me who won the 1st point?


Tennis Freak Says:

He has already made this final far better than Murray did the USO. If A-Rod takes the 4th, it will make the final more beautiful. Give me a 5th setter, A-Rod.


tenniskitten Says:

come on Andy!


tenniskitten Says:

Andy don’t hang your head play your heart out and give it all you have!


sensationalsafin Says:

I’m pretty sure Roddick hit an ace or a service winner on the first point of the match.


Rab Says:

Relatively poor showing from Fed today.

As Von remarked, his serve has kept him in the match today. Andy is really taking the game to him and he has struggled to respond effectively.

Still think Andy is in this match…


Cindy_Brady Says:

Federer looked very sharp in his white Wimbledon blazer.

All class!


tenisbebe Says:

Kimo Says: “I missed the beginning of the match. can anyone tell me who won the 1st point?” Andy did.


Sean Randall Says:

Level of play has dropped a little. Roddick can still in this if he doesn’t get too deflated.


Sean Randall Says:

Roddick’s lifted! Gets the break. Federer’s level dropping.


tenisbebe Says:

Yes! Great BH to force the error from Fed. Now hold here Andy!


Tennis Freak Says:

A-Rod breaks Fed twice in this match, wow !


Rab Says:

Andy breaks!

Looks like we are going to a 5th…


tennismonger Says:

Lookin’ good w/the BREAK!!!

The up-the-line backhand has obviously been the difference for Andy this fortnight – wonder how Stefanki imparted this shot to him where other coaches couldn’t?


Andrew Miller Says:

go roddick. stay calm man!


Cindy_Brady Says:

A glimmer of hope for you Roddick faithful.

The tennis God’s want this thing to go to 5.


Andrew Miller Says:

Roddick has got to keep Federer away from that Federer forehand!


Tennis Freak Says:

Roddick holds after taking that break and leads 4-1 in the 4th set. Good that he still believes.


Andrew Miller Says:

New balls – not good for Andy.


Tennis Freak Says:

We want a fifth set, and the crowd wants the same. So, guys, give us another fifth set final.


Tennis Freak Says:

That fall must have hurt A-Rod so badly. Hope that does not affect him from closing out the set.


tennismonger Says:

WHO WANTS IT MORE???!!!????

I say Andy.


Tennis Freak Says:

We have a fifth set final. Thank you, Roddick and Fed.


Cindy_Brady Says:

Tennis Freak Says:

That fall must have hurt A-Rod so badly. Hope that does not affect him from closing out the set.

I agree. Hate to see a great Wimbledon final be decided by an injury.

Let’s see who has more guts in the 5th set.


Sean Randall Says:

Federer’s level not great. Roddick’s knee slip seems to be ok. Lots of tension out there.

Federer edge because he serves first…And he holds.

Should be a great finish!


Kimo Says:

The reason Andy is so much better this year is that Stefanki finally got him to understand that he can’t keep on ignoring his baseline game if he wants to win a major.


sensationalsafin Says:

Cindy_Brady, what does 18-2 have to do with this match now?


Tennis Freak Says:

A-Rod remains unbroken.


Sean Randall Says:

As I wrote in my OP, Roddick is actually winning the longer rallies. If can serve big, maintain in the rallies he can pull this out.


Tennis Freak Says:

Having to spend less time on court, Fed may have physical advantage in this set.


Andrew Miller Says:

He does have a shot. Tough shot by Federer -


Lenny Says:

Match Stats till the end of the 4th:

Set 1:
Aces: Roddick – 5 Federer – 7
1st Serve: Roddick – 78% Federer – 69%
Double faults: Roddick – 0 Federer – 1
Pts won on 1st Server: Roddick – 81% Federer – 90%
Pts won on 2nd Server: Roddick – 44% Federer – 44%
Winners: Roddick – 13 Federer – 14
UFEs: Roddick – 3 Federer – 6
Pts won on return: Roddick – 24% Federer – 28%
Break pt conversion: Roddick – 1/1 Federer – 0/4
Total pts won: Roddick – 36 Federer – 33

Set 2:
Aces: Roddick – 6 Federer – 8
1st Serve: Roddick – 79% Federer – 56%
Double faults: Roddick – 2 Federer – 1
Pts won on 1st Server: Roddick – 87% Federer – 85%
Pts won on 2nd Server: Roddick – 25% Federer – 75%
Winners: Roddick – 13 Federer – 16
UFEs: Roddick – 7 Federer – 5
Pts won on return: Roddick – 19% Federer – 26%
Break pt conversion: Roddick – 0/0 Federer – 0/0
Total pts won: Roddick – 35 Federer – 39

Set 3:
Aces: Roddick – 6 Federer – 7
1st Serve: Roddick – 55% Federer – 72%
Double faults: Roddick – 1 Federer – 0
Pts won on 1st Server: Roddick – 87% Federer – 96%
Pts won on 2nd Server: Roddick – 53% Federer – 78%
Winners: Roddick – 17 Federer – 20
UFEs: Roddick – 5 Federer – 4
Pts won on return: Roddick – 9% Federer – 29%
Break pt conversion: Roddick – 0/0 Federer – 0/0
Total pts won: Roddick – 33 Federer – 41

Set 4:
Aces: Roddick – 2 Federer – 6
1st Serve: Roddick – 60% Federer – 61%
Double faults: Roddick – 1 Federer – 1
Pts won on 1st Server: Roddick – 89% Federer – 79%
Pts won on 2nd Server: Roddick – 42% Federer – 33%
Winners: Roddick – 6 Federer – 14
UFEs: Roddick – 4 Federer – 7
Pts won on return: Roddick – 39% Federer – 30%
Break pt conversion: Roddick – 1/2 Federer – 0/0
Total pts won: Roddick – 30 Federer – 23

Match Overall:
Aces: Roddick – 19 Federer – 28
1st Serve: Roddick – 69% Federer – 65%
Double faults: Roddick – 4 Federer – 3
Pts won on 1st Server: Roddick – 85% Federer – 89%
Pts won on 2nd Server: Roddick – 44% Federer – 59%
Winners: Roddick – 50 Federer – 64
UFEs: Roddick – 19 Federer – 23
Pts won on return: Roddick – 22% Federer – 29%
Break pt conversion: Roddick – 2/3 Federer – 0/5
Total pts won: Roddick – 138 Federer – 143


Andrew Miller Says:

Big serve. Federer looks a little upset?


Kimo Says:

Too many bad bounces off the court today. Worst grass court I’ve ever seen.


Tennis Freak Says:

Fed pulls a big set and has a break point. A-Rod saves.


Andrew Miller Says:

Sean – Federer a little tight?


Tennis Freak Says:

Correction: set= point


Andrew Miller Says:

I’d say…stay away from the Federer forehand unless Roddick can pound it to that side. Federer serving well from what I can tell.


Andrew Miller Says:

the grass looks bad.


Tennis Freak Says:

Imagine if A-Rod had won that 2nd set; the match would have been over at the end of the 4th.

Here we are.
I still think Fed will pull it off.


Lenny Says:

I knowww Tennis Freak. Let’s just hope that’s not going through Andy’s mind and he can stay in the moment.


Cindy_Brady Says:

I must say, Andy Roddick has played at the highest “sustained” level of his career in this match.

Who will blink 1st in the 5th?

Should be good!


Sean Randall Says:

Federer is a little tight. They both are. Roddick has the bigger “gun”, but Federer does serve ahead.


Kimo Says:

Well, Fed is fighting for no.15. It’s not gonna be easy.


Tennis Freak Says:

It is Fed’s 33 aces that have kept him in the match and a dozen more will help him get through this match. He has what 10+ more aces than Roddick so far?


Cindy_Brady Says:

Federer probably needs to take a couple whacks at the return. Too much defensive blocking doesn’t seem to be getting it done. He’s hoping for Roddick to make errors but Andy is not complying.

Federer will have to take it if he wants to win it. A little more offense to make Roddick think more on his serve.


Kimo Says:

Fed is really tight!!!


NachoF Says:

Fed never wins the epic Grand slam five setters….lets hope he can change that today.


Andrew Miller Says:

The average speed of Federer’s first serve is 135 mph?

Sheesh!


NachoF Says:

his losses to Nalbandian at the Masters Cup, Safin at Australia, and twice to Nadal(Wimbledon and Austalia) come to mind.


Pro_B Says:

Maan, I’ve a horrible feeling he’s going down but i still play poker with Fed tonite, he holds ALL the aces!


Kimo Says:

Nacho Said:

“Fed never wins the epic Grand slam five setters….lets hope he can change that today.”

2007 Wimby…hello!!!!!


Cindy_Brady Says:

Sean Randall is right. Roddick always has to serve “game match” down.

More pressure on his serve.

This is one factor that propelled Borg over McEnroe in 1980.


Pro_B Says:

Maan, I’ve a horrible feeling he’s going down but i still wouldn’t play poker with Fed tonite, he holds ALL the aces!


NachoF Says:

Kimo,
yeah but he won the fifth set 6-2.


Kimo Says:

Nacho Said:

“yeah but he won the fifth set 6-2.”

So what? It’s still an epic.


Cindy_Brady Says:

This is an epic match. So glad to be watching it.

So much drama with records at stake and the all star tennis God’s watching in the VIP box!

If you don’t like this, then you hate tennis.


Tennis Freak Says:

An absolute epic final!


Lenny Says:

Go Andyyy!!!! Remember, kitchen sink AND bathtub this time.


NachoF Says:

I wonder… do they get extra challenge points now?


tenisbebe Says:

Wow – great BH down the line from Andy to win that last service game. Again I am struck by this calm demeanor – no fist pumps or screaming after that great shot.


Kimo Says:

This is the third year you play with my nerves in a Wimbledon final, Fed. Why are you doing this to me?


tenisbebe Says:

NachoF Says: “I wonder… do they get extra challenge points now?”

Good question but somehow I wouldn’t think so.


NachoF Says:

In the Advantage set – 5th set for men’s singles/doubles and 3rd set for all other events (except Seniors’ events)

* Each player/team is allowed a maximum of three incorrect challenges in a normal set after which they are not permitted to challenge again in that set.
* However, if the match is tied at six games all, the counter is reset with both players/teams again having a limit of up to three incorrect challenges in the next 12 games
* Challenges may not be carried over and the process of resetting is repeated after every 12 games


Sean Randall Says:

I think this match ends 9-7, but to who?


tenisbebe Says:

Sean – no predictions please. Your record re: Roddick has not been so good at this Wimby :D


Cindy_Brady Says:

I hate the way NBC puts the score line in the upper left hand part of the screen. It blocks the ball toss.

Stupid NBC again!


Lenny Says:

Well, I hope you’re wrong Sean. Coz now it can only end 9-7 in one person’s favour


tenisbebe Says:

Break him here Andy! Go!!


Tennis Freak Says:

Sean, why did you want to see the match to end at 9-7?
Thanks to both players, it did not. I want this match to go forever.
A-Rod has double break point, wow !


Tennis Freak Says:

Fed saves both. Wow !


Kimo Says:

Someone please pass me the oxygen.


Cindy_Brady Says:

And it continues!!!!!!!!!!!


NachoF Says:

That was close… come on Fed!


tenisbebe Says:

2 lights out serves from Fed to get to deuce.


jane Says:

Guess things aren’t going quite as you predicted eh Cindy.

No matter who wins now, Roddick is playing the best match of his career. Go Andy!!!


tenisbebe Says:

Wow! That touch volley was beautiful! Who is this guy? I don’t recognize him but I like it!


Lenny Says:

Shot!


tenisbebe Says:

They are both disgusted with Hawkeye this Wimby. Let it go & stay focused Andy.


Tennis Freak Says:

In total, already 4 games longer than last year’s epic final !
And I am counting.


tenisbebe Says:

Smart pt at 15-all.


Lenny Says:

Geeez! I wish the bloody Star Sports commentators wouldn’t keep saying it’s been blahblah hours and blah blah minutes and Roddick’s serve has still not been broken! I swear they are TRYING to jinx him


Cindy_Brady Says:

Jane,

Don’t have time for the banter. Too good a match.


Tennis Freak Says:

Look who’s here.
Where have you been, Jane? Did you just break your vigil now? That was some insane vigil. Were you in trance?


Cindy_Brady Says:

This is a match for the ages.


jane Says:

I’ve been watching and enjoying, Tennis Freak. My vigil ended when the first ball was struck. As I say, no matter what happens … what a match.


tenisbebe Says:

God!! My heart is beating like crazy.


Cindy_Brady Says:

What a serving display by both men!


Tennis Freak Says:

23 games played in this set, i.e. 1 more than the number of games played in the last 2 sets.
I believe 8 more games in total than last year’s epic final.
Fed has 45 aces at this point.


afrakanguy Says:

andy roddick does not deserve to win he should broke fed along time ago even if it meant hitting super hard crazy wild shots i mean come on


Tennis Freak Says:

So far, 10 more games played than last year’s epic final.
Lat year= 62 games total
this year= 72 games in total (still counting)


afrakanguy Says:

andy roddick is no nadal he will loose for his games suits rogers personality and game style i recall playing a big 6,3 foot guy with an incredible serve and the reason why i beat the guy was because mentally i love playing guys like him instead of being afraid and roger loves roddicks game it suits his personality and style and the fact roddick is mentally unstable and sometimes comes off cocky only makes fed more powerful but nadal is humble and ready to rumble who type of diffrent personality.

styles in personality and tennis styles determine who wins and who looses.

andy roddick will loose and another bad line call is coming


Kimo Says:

No matter who wins, Roddick will have won more games. WOW!!!


Cindy_Brady Says:

They both look invincible on serve after 4+ hours.


Tennis Freak Says:

Fed hit the 50th ace mark and heading to surpass Karlovic’s record of 55 (or 56) aces.


Casey Says:

Lunch plans have been postponed… pizza ordered… will deal with chores in due time… watching history in progress!


Cindy_Brady Says:

Federer wins as I predicted.


Kimo Says:

Finally!!!

In the last 6-8 games Federer was serving better, moving better, hitting better.

But let’s not take anything away from Andy. What a performance. He should stand tall.

Congrats Von and jane, and I apologize for thinking that it would have been an easy win for Fed.

NUMBER 1 IN THE WORLD AND GOAT: ROGER FEDERER

WOO HOOOOOOOOOO


Tennis Freak Says:

Kudos to both. What an epic match ! The stronger survived. Congrats to Fed for his landmark 15th.

Congrats to Roddick for showing great heart and playing a magnificent tennis !


Pro_B Says:

Fed is the man. He held his nerve.


tenisbebe Says:

Wow! Andy looks so very dejected. Great match. Fantastic tennis.

Cindy_Brady Says:”Federer wins as I predicted.” Cindy, you are a real piece of work. You didn’t predict S**T – just picked the favorite & were WAY off on how far this match would go. You said 4 sets MAX.


Kimo Says:

LOL. Classic Andy: “Yeah, but you had five!!!”


Pro_B Says:

Kitchen sink , bath tub, umm running outta things to throw?


Kimo Says:

I hope people stop nagging about serving contests. I love them. How else could you have a 16-14 final set if it isn’t a serving contest?!


Pro_B Says:

Cindy_brady, u give us fed fans a bad name. PLEASE stop with the predictions and the arrogance. i’m glad rog is more modest than u.


Kimo Says:

Right now Adny must be thinking about nothing but that 2nd sed tiebreak.


Kimo Says:

I’m sad for Roddick. He wants nothing more in his life than to shed that “one slam wonder” label from his back, because he’s so much more than that.


tenisbebe Says:

Congrats to Fed on his 15th. Andy played lights out, molto kudos to him. Von, Von – nothing to be ashamed of. Serving 1st in the fifth didn’t help pressure-wise, and that was his only break in the match. Chin up Von.


tennismonger Says:

Yes, Fed is indeed the man. He is also the Gordon Gekko of tennis.

Roddick can certainly hold his head high. I hope he can recover soon from this – he was amazing, so close, so close…


Tennis Freak Says:

Pro_B,
Nicely said. She is not a Fed fan, so nothing to lose for her. She’s bad-mouthing only to make us look bad.
We are gracious in victory. All the credit to A-Rod for giving us a great Grand Slam final. He had chances to win, just came up a little short at the end. Like I said earlier, A-Rod might have won had he not squandered those 4 set points in the 2nd set.
Tennis wins again, not often happens.


Kimo Says:

tennismonger said:

“He is also the Gordon Gekko of tennis”

LOL.

“Greed, for the lack of a better word is good. Greed works. Greed clarifies, cuts through and captures the essence of evolutionary spirit.”


Kimo Says:

Oh man!!! R u people getting this? Federer with Borg and Sampras and Laver.

He looks in his element standing among them.


jane Says:

“He is also the Gordon Gekko of tennis.” No kidding – and the netjet commercial just emphasizes that.


Andrew Miller Says:

I disagree…I think Roddick had the chance when he was up 15-40 on Roger Federer’s serve in the fifth set – he wins that, closes out the match on his serve – then it’s the match.

The last few service games, Roddick’s ground strokes, in my mind, just completely deserted him. I was wondering under what circumstances the lights would need to be turned on. I think if the lights were on, that might have introduced another element into the mix, maybe lit a fire under them both so that their groundstrokes could come back to life.

Roddick had his chances in the fifth set – I am sure he is aware of that. And I dont think either one of them were hitting good balls, outside of big serves, once they were at 10-10.


Von Says:

tenisbebe: I’m proud of Andy, but I’m so sorry to see his BEAUTIFUL dejected face and I can’t help but cry my heart out for him.

Andy my love, you’re still the Beautiful one, inside and out.


tennismonger Says:

KIMO – Thanks for pulling that quote up in it’s entirety – I couldn’t remember the entire speech when i typed my post, but looks like I nailed it!

LOL X2!


Kimo Says:

tennismonger, I LOVE that movie. ;)


jane Says:

Von, wrote to you on the other thread too – I shed tears when they showed Andy’s face too. But what a man; did he hold himself together and give a good speech or what?? He even joked and made everyone laugh too. Heartbreaker, that loss. Soooo close!


Andrew Miller Says:

Just another thought – but there is no break in the fifth set, right? That is nuts – I mean, 16-14, that’s 30 games, essentially 2.5 times longer than any “longer set” (or at the least, twice as long). Roddick must be upset about the tie breaks, the chances in the fifth set on Roger Federer’s serve. He just missed those, and would have been fresh enough for the upset – it would have energized Roddick and focused him enough to close the deal. Oh well.

So goes it!

An amazing effort, outstanding play by all.


Von Says:

Cindy Brady; I’m not one for sour grapes, but you’ve put females back zillions of years with your iron pants. You’re a classless piece of %^&&*). Go take a bath and put some poly-grip on your dentures, GRANNY. GAWD, YOU MUST BE ONE UGLY piece of $^&*U)). Your heart smells just like your dentures. sheesh and sheesh again.

Don’t even bother replying because I’m outta here. yu’ve stunk up Tennis.X BIG TIME, AND THEN SOME.


Kimo Says:

I say watch out for Roddick in the USO. Stefanki has made him a beast.


Pro_B Says:

great game tennis bebe, rod played great but i’m glad fed won


Pro_B Says:

sorry von but me doing a victory dance :)


tenisbebe Says:

Pro_B Says: “great game tennis bebe, rod played great but i’m glad fed won” Thanks Pro_B but I didn’t do anything but cheer for him.

Von – Larry will help him put it in perspective. Most didn’t think he’d make it this far so it says alot to me that he believed throughout that he could win. The stakes were enormous.


tenisbebe Says:

I’m outta here tennis fans – going to the lake for the week. Yippee! Talk at ya next week.


Alessandro Ascione Says:

Suicide of Roddick: second set, tie-break, Andy leads 6-2 and serve, match is finished…
http://www.alessandroascione.com/2009/07/roddick-si-strangola-da-se-e-regala-un.html


himanshu Says:

andy did read you — did his best – has his life time opprotunity to win the second set in the tie breaker – but he goofed up — after that it was just a matter of time that roger would win !! roger won because andy lost – bottom line history will remeber that Roger won and not that Andy played well !!!


Von Says:

tenisbebe: Hope you’re back for Davis cup, but if not, enjoy your trip, and DON’T stay away for 2 months again, because really, really, MISS YOU. Have fun.


Andrew Miller Says:

Roddick had his chances – that is what he needed. Hopefully he keeps working hard.

It is clear that anyone that stays close to Federer has a shot – if they can go shot for shot and push him to the wall in big matches, they CAN win, though will likely lose.

It’s the “CAN win” that they play for, for that shot. Roddick did that. He has nothing to be ashamed about.

I think the last games, from 10-10 on, were tough. The court became darker for both players, and their groundstrokes from what I could tell, turned into mush.

I blame the tournament for that – they know that the match can go long (see last year’s final), and this year they had the lights.

Why didnt they switch the lights on? Makes no sense to me.


Cindy_Brady Says:

Von,

U mad?


sensationalsafin Says:

Wow. I hope Roddick wins the US Open and next year’s Wimbledon. He’s the guy I’m rooting for in those 2. I don’t know if there’s anything left to criticize. The backhand, cross court and down the line, was Safin-esque, Murray-esque, Djokovic-esque, etc. The serve, wow. The forehand, amazing. The volleys, crisp.

Congrats to Federer, but he really is a dick. Gotta feel for Andy. More than last year, I want Wimbledon to go and make another trophy, give it to Roddick, and put his name next to Fed’s on the list. Incredible.


Tennisfan Says:

Roddick played as good as I’ve ever seen him play … he’s like a fine wine …

Congrats!!! to Federer however … who’s seems to know how to win even if he was having an off day in the ground strokes department…

… part of that was forced by Roddicks play … but some of it was just missed easy shots he would normally make …

I suspect Federer was a little tired mentally going into the match with all the pomp and circumstance surrounding it. He just looked relieved at the end of it all … and I think he realized he had dodged a bullet by pulling it out on his serve alone. Maybe the Karlovic match was a good warmup for him for the final after all.

What now for Federer? He has climbed the mountain to the top … no he has to find another mountain or lose his motivation …

On another note, if Nadal can get his knees in good enough shape to play … and Roddick can maintain his new form … and Murray realizes he has something to prove (or become less relevant) … and Federer finds that other mountain … then the USO could be quite spectacular fireworks this year.


Tennisfan Says:

tennismonger, SS, et.al : Yeah, Federer shouldn’t have tried so hard in the end to win and take the precious hope of Roddick winning Wimbledon away from him … you people really believe that … not even Roddick would want to win that way.
I like Roddick (even though at times he can say some pretty nasty things) … but Federer is far more respectful … a great ambassador for tennis and just a nice decent human being.

… some people don’t like those qualities …


Fedfan Says:

Anything left for Fed critics (people like sensationalsafin). can they now just shut up for good? Or do they need more?

Its about time everyone accepted something that had been staring them in the face for a few years – Federer is the best tennis player of ALL TIME.

Nobody even comes close, if you comprehensively look at all his records.

Laver was a great player. However, the argument that he might have won more if he was allowed to play in the mid sixties is FLAWED. If he had been allowed to play, so would have many other top players like Pancho Gonsalez. Sure, he might have won more, but by the same token, he might have won less, much less….


lebron Says:

Sean, the results are in. While Andy did not win, you were spot on in the analysis. Thanks.


Fedfan Says:

Laver’s second slam was legitimate. His first slam in 1962 was not – he was an amateur, but professionals were not allowed to play (including players like Pancho who was at his peak then).

So we will never know how many Laver would have won had tennis been “open” all along. Perhaps more than 11. Perhaps less than 11. 15 in today’s era is still significantly greater than 11. Also considering the fact that their are 3 (or 4) surfaces to play on now, unlike then, when it was all grass, or clay at FO.


MMT Says:

Fedfan: Laver said as much in his interview with McEnroe – he specifically cited Hoad, Rosewall and Gonzales as contemporaries who if he had been able to play slams, he would have had to compete with them as well.


Fedfan Says:

Perhaps another couple of slams and then this Rod Laver speculation will also be mute. After all, if Fed goes upto 18 or 20 slams, then Laver’s 11 pale in comparison, regardless of circumstances.

Another couple of slams, and Federer might set a record that might not be broken for decades, maybe several decades at least. It might become one of the long standing sports records across all sports. Like Don Bradman’s record average of 99.96 in test cricket (60 years on, nobody has even come close to it – the next best batting average is 60!).

I think Fed’s streak in finals and semi finals has already reached such proportions.

BTW, there is only one player who has EVER reached 5 consecutive French semis. Not Borg, Not Nadal, its Federer. Nadal perhaps may never match that.


Fedfan Says:

6 of Laver’s 11 slams were in the amateur world (1960-62), when he was clearly not the top player (he became that in 1965), and probably wouldn’t have won them since Rosewall and Pancho Gonzalez would routinely beat him during those years.

That said, he was the top player from 1965-67, so he would have definitely won some slams in those years had he been allowed to play.

1962-64 is the grey period when he might have won some slams.

On balance, would he have won more than 11 or less than 11 if tennis was open during all those years? Its impossible to tell.

With each slam Federer wins now, he will create more and more distance between him and Laver. At some point perhaps 18 slams), it will cease to be a debate.


I like tennis bullies Says:

How Andy Roddick Can Beat Roger Federer Today at Wimbledon by Sean Randall
———-

nice reverse psychology there fanboy

Top story: Meet Mr. And Mrs. Novak Djokovic!
  • Recent Comments
Rankings
ATP - Jul 21 WTA - Jul 21
1 Novak Djokovic1 Serena Williams
2 Rafael Nadal2 Na Li
3 Roger Federer3 Simona Halep
4 Stan Wawrinka4 Petra Kvitova
5 Tomas Berdych5 Agnieszka Radwanska
6 David Ferrer6 Maria Sharapova
7 Milos Raonic7 Eugenie Bouchard
8 Juan Martin Del Potro8 Angelique Kerber
9 Grigor Dimitrov9 Jelena Jankovic
10 Andy Murray10 Victoria Azarenka
More: Tennis T-Shirts | Tennis Shop | Live Tennis Scores | Headlines

Copyright © 2003-2014 Tennis-X.com. All rights reserved.
This website is an independently operated source of news and information and is not affiliated with any professional organizations.