Federer Lands in Nadal’s Half at Cincinnati; Roddick Returns
by Sean Randall | August 14th, 2010, 9:46 am
  • 22 Comments

It’s been a busy 24 hours of tennis with the all the excitement and drama from Toronto, but lost in that was the release of the Cincinnati Tennis Masters draw.

With a No. 3 ranking, the fate of Roger Federer is up to the Tennis Gods and yesterday they plopped the 16-time Slam champ in the same top half with rival and top seed Rafael Nadal. But will they even meet?

That leaves Novak Djokovic and Andy Murray in the bottom half.

Here’s a quick breakdown of the four quarters.

If Nadal wants a “pause” after Toronto his opening match in Cincinnati might the time for him to take it. Nadal could play buddy Feliciano Lopez in the second round. Lopez beat Nadal in Queen’s and on a fast Cincinnati court another upset win wouldn’t surprise me. If Nadal gets through, another Spaniard, Nicolas Almagro, could await or more likely either Stan Wawrinka or Michael Llodra. Rafa’s quarterfinal foe will likely emerge from the group of Marin Cilic, Tomas Berdcyh or Marcos Baghdatis. Berdych stepped up his game last night against Federer so I’d tip his advance.

Federer could open his title defense against former Top 10 James Blake. And then he could get a date with Gael Monfils before meeting either Nikolay Dayvdenko, David Ferrer or Sam Querrey in the quarterfinals. It’s a good draw for Federer.

I also like Murray’s section. Fernando Verdaso the other big seed in his quarter but the lefty has been slumping of late. Murray will likely open against Jeremy Chardy, then get Ernests Gulbis. In the quarterfinals Verdasco could be there or Mardy Fish.

The final section is loaded with Robin Soderling, Lleyton Hewitt, Andy Roddick, Ivan Ljubicic, John Isner, David Nalbandian and Djokovic. Djokovic will be tested in his opener against either Radek Stepanek or countryman Viktor Troicki. Soderling and Hewitt could meet in the second round. Nalbandian begins with Ljubicic to play Isner! Roddick, who returns after illness, has a first round with Sergiy Stakhovsky and then another meeting with Thiemo De Bakker before perhaps Soderling. It’s a brutal section.

The quarterfinals by seeds: 1 Nadal v. 7 Berdych; 3 Federer v. 6 Davydenko; 8 Verdasco v. Murray; 5 Soderling v. 2 Djokovic.
The semifinals: Nadal v. Federer, Murray v. Djokovic

Some early thoughts are I like Federer’s draw and Murray’s. Depending on how things turn out in Toronto, I’m not sure if Nadal makes the semifinals. And the Djokovic section is an absolute crapshoot right now.

A few of the better first rounders include Wawrinka v. Almagro, Cilic v. Baghdatis, Ferrer v. Dolgopolov, Fish v. Simon, Gulbis v. Young and Ljubicic v. Nalbandian.


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22 Comments for Federer Lands in Nadal’s Half at Cincinnati; Roddick Returns

Eric Says:

Hoping the Gulbis v. Young match is on one of the televised courts so I can watch the stream and see Young’s progress. He will most likely lose but I would really like to see whether he is still worth rooting for or if he’s a lost cause.


madmax Says:

Sean, I thought Simon had withdrawn due to injury? If so, who will be the wildcard?


NELTA Says:

Nalby draws another seed in the 1st round. This time Ljubicic gets the short end of the stick. The top 4 seeds can breathe a sigh of relief that they won’t be facing the likes of Nalby,Isner or Fish in their 1st match(2nd round).

Fed’s draw looks good, but who knows with the way he has been playing Kohls or Querrey could take him out. I don’t see Monfils, Ferrer or Davy taking out Fed in Cincy. Davy would normally be a threat, but he clearly hasn’t returned to his form since his wrist injury.

I thought Nadal had a tough draw in Toronto with a potenial matchup with Querrey in his 2nd match. Querrey has never beaten Nadal ,but he has taken a set off him each time and he is playing well. Cilic has been playing better lately and has beaten Nadal on a hard court before. Both these guys got taken out so his draw ended up easier than I 1st thought. In Cincy the only players who are a real threat to Nadal in his quarter would be either Berdych or Cilic

Some really good 1st round matches

Cilic/Baggy
Nalb/Ljub
Fish/Simon
Ferrer/Dolgo

Does Berdych have a leg problem? If he withdraws by tomorrow then the seeding matchups would change. If he pulls out at the last minute on Monday then a LL would be inserted and there would be no shuffling of the seeds. This is what happened in Toronto where Roddick was a late scratch.


Steve Says:

It’s crazy how people are downgrading Federer’s achievements, just watch Youtube videos of him from let’s say 2001 until 2007, you’ll once again be reminded he won Slams by pure brilliance, amazing talent, seems many fed-bashers think he just won by luck. Crazy, he played tennis that was never seen before and after, on a daily basis.


Andrew Miller Says:

If I were Rafa Nadal and I won Canada, I would aim to exit early against Lopez or someone of high caliber, or win a set, start losing the 2nd set, and then retire during the match.

Seriously, if Rafa wants to make a huge run at USO, and if he wins Canada, he should make it his GOAL to exit early in Cincinatti (or eat a chilli dog and cite food poisoning).

The double-double masters titles in Tennis are brutal. And if the chips fall where they may Nadal wins Canada now and exits early in Cincy. If he loses in the finals of Canada I would hope he exits QF at Cincy – no shame, good ranking points, exit to someone like Berdych etc…ON PURPOSE!


jane Says:

“Ferrer v. Dolgopolov” – could be wicked. Hope to catch this one!


Kimmi Says:

andrew miller – nadal played all clay masters 1000, won them all and still won RG.

people were talking he should pull out of madrid. he didn’t.

Nadal will be OK. winning canada will even give him more confidence going forward.


Andrew Miller Says:

Hi Kimmi – you are one hundred percent right. However – that run took place on clay and clay is softer. His successful hard court runs in early 2009 (the unreal Aussie Open win) may have set him up for the 2009 knee issues.

The Nadals think about this stuff all the time – Rafa simply does not move forward if all things are not in working order. I dont think he’d ever play with mono, like the warrior Federer, if it compromised his play (which it certainly did with Federer).


Kimberly Says:

Did a rough shot at the draw challenge last night for Cincy. Will revise today and tomorrow again when the qualies come in.

I feel there may be a few pull outs. Also Novak could lose any day match in that heat. Lucky for him he plays tonight in Toronto.


Von Says:

Andrew @ 11:59 am, tanking is illegal and can be awarded with hefty fines.


Von Says:

What a tough draw for Roddick, who’s been sick. I hope he’ll be up to what faces him in Cincy. It would be best for him to withdraw than compound his problem, that is, if he’s still feeling the after effects of his illness.


contador Says:

von-

do you have any inside info on what is actually up with andy r?


contador Says:

Kimberly-

i did one too. but i am really very insecure and puzzled this time. so many questions about who is what in terms of fitness or on the verge of withdrawing.

rome and madrid were way easier to pick. (not that i did that much better)


Von Says:

contador: No, I don’t have any info whatsoever. I don’t visit his website either. The only thing I’ve read is that he’s suffering from fatigue, which accounts for the drained feeling, but aside from that I don’t have a clue. Also, he’s not one for publicizing his injuries, which means we might never hear exactly what’s happening with him. I only hope that it’s nothing serious, as this USO won’t be the same without his fidgety self.


grendel Says:

Von – a) how do you prove “tanking”?
b) what is a “hefty fine” for a multi-millionaire?


contador Says:

jane-

ferrer / dolgo yes!

Kimberly? can dolgo do his usual drop the first set and win the next two? that seemed to work for him until he got to berdych.

dolgo. i think he has the speed of ferrer and may have an edge on hc but ferrer of course, seems the likely pick with the experience.


Von Says:

grendel: It can’t be proved, but it goes to what we call in my field, *reasonable doubt*.

Fines, even a very hefty one, is worth a farthing to a multi-millionaire. In, fact, they receive so much in freebies, that as soon as they pay out $100 they receive ten times that amount, and then some.

I know you probably realize that I was being facetious, as per usual.

I recently read an article about Serena becoming livid with anger with the tourney directors in LA, because they refused to give her some free tickets, after she had given them a few plugs. That said, your question about a fine for a multi-millionaire most probably might have more meaning, as it just depends on which multi-millionaire we’re talking about, isn’t it?


WTF Says:

That’s actually true about fines against rich people, but there’s no practical way to do so other wise. Would it be constitutional to fine a billionaire a sum of 5 million for littering out of a car, but an ordinary person a hundred odd, while the same offense from a hobo sets him back a few dimes?

The same offense is worth the same fine. Set it too low and the wealthier people will be indifferent to it, but set it to an amount that will deter them and it will be excessive to anyone else. The fine has to fit the crime.


Emilie Says:

I hope to see roddick winning in cincy because it will be too late later


Sean Randall Says:

Roddick did (or still does) have mono. Story here:

http://www.tennis-x.com/xblog/2010-08-14/4955.php


Sean Randall Says:

I have not seen anything on Simon or Berdych withdrawing.


Adeel federer Says:

No one play’s tennis like federer end off,
It doesen’t matter about the draw, it shouldn’t matter how
Tough it is , beating all the best players in a tournament is much
Better than beating standard players, tough draw so what if fed plays his best
Through out the week I’m sure he can win the tournament, plus it will do him good , lots of confidence
Going into the us open and will keep his number 2 ranking, but I beileve he will be number 1 ranked again in the future,
He is easily the best player to watch on tv, plays the most beautiful tennis I have ever seen, effortless to much talent,
And I am so happy he is in nadal’s draw and hope they play in the semi’s
I am very confident fed will get him in straight sets and claim the win, then he will have a winning record over nadal
On hard and grass which I’m sure it will eventually be like that enywayz in the future!

Even though fed lost to andy murray today in the final in canada , he Is still got a very good chance at this tournament as long as he plays his best through out with consistency
And that means when he is up a set and cruising no chilling out and letting the openents back in , just kill them off, andy murray deserved his victory
But the conditions were really bad and fed wasn’t at his best, how ever I expect murray to do well in cincy aswell but I won’t be surprised if he goes out early considering he has already won in toronto and it won’t effect him to much if he goes out early here
That will give him more time to recover and get ready for us open, enyways I hope fed wins the tourney and gets confidence
If he don’t win it then who cares , fed will just step up his game for the big one
The us open which is the one that really matters, and for all those ppl alwayz hating on federer constantly remember he has 16 grand slams and that aint luck that’s pure talent, and nearly evry player on tour says fed is the goat including his rivals nadal ,murray and djokovic so before you start to criticise remember who evr you are , you probably never picked up a tennis racket in your life and can’t play to save your life but is only good and talking sh**!!! And that’s all I’ve got to say about that! Yay yehhhhhhh!!

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