Does Tomic Have A Chance Tonight Against Federer?
by Sean Randall | January 18th, 2013, 10:36 pm
  • 44 Comments

For those staying up late this Friday night, the loss of sleep could be well worth it. Then again, maybe not. Of course I’m talking about the big showdown tonight at the Australian Open when wunderkind Bernard Tomic against four-time champ Roger Federer.

It’s a rematch of their much-hyped match a year ago when Federer tuned the teen inside out in straight sets wins.

This time around Tomic comes in with even more hoopla, deservedly so. After a dismal finish to the 2012 season, the 20-year-old has really stepped up his game early in 2013 – maybe he can only do it on the homeland? Sure he played well at the Hopman Cup (and beat Novak Djokovic) but then followed it up by winning the Sydney tournament when the results actually mattered.

And he’s carried over that improved play to Melbourne where this week he hasn’t dropped serve in his first two matches.

Federer, who adhered to his schedule reduction by skipping any warm-up tournaments, showed no signs of any rust from not having played a meaningful match since London. Roger had no troubles with flashy Frenchman Benoit Paire and then he crushed longtime whipping boy Nikolay Davydenko a few nights ago.

So both guys come in playing decent tennis, but still the big, big edge here goes to Federer.

Tomic has found some confidence and is in a groove, there’s no denying that. But look at who he’s beaten. Leonardo Mayer? Qualifier Daniel Brands? Even in his Sydney win he didn’t beat anyone in the Top 20. And the problem I have is during his career he hasn’t showed that he really can beat the big names.

Tomic’s better serve shouldn’t hurt Federer much – Roger does so well against the big servers. And really his groundstrokes and movement shouldn’t frighten Roger either, as long as Federer is playing like we know he can.

And Federer doesn’t like losing and especially not to younger guys who like to flap their gums as Bernard has been doing. So while I expect it to be an entertaining match, I think it’s Roger in straight sets and hello to a 35th straight Slam fourth round.

Also today, I’m really surprised and disappointed to see Juan Martin Del Potro in a struggle with Jeremy Chardy. After a strong finish to 2012 this would be a crushing loss for Del Po after he can’t get back on track here. Fortunately there’s still time for the Argentine who dropped the first set and is now down a break in the second to the underachieving Frenchman.

Andy Murray, JW Tsonga and Marin Cilic also look like good picks this evening. I’ll be interested to see how Milos Raonic fares. We’ve been waiting for a while for him to make some noise.

On the top half, Novak Djokovic is still the favorite but I like the way Tomas Berdych has been playing. David Ferrer also had a good result last night over Marcos Bahgdatis – it looks like Marcos may never get back to another Slam final, what a shame.

But with the top guys winning we’ll get some good matchups the rest of the way.


Also Check Out:
Bernard Tomic: Once The Federers, Nadals, Djokovics Are Gone, I’ll Have A Chance To Dominate
Benard Tomic On His Father: He’s Still Working With Me, He’s Still My Dad, I Love Him A Lot
Bernard Tomic: “I Consider Myself Very Smart And Tactical”
Can Tomic Beat Federer At The Australian Open? Clijsters v. Li Na In Final Rematch
Is Bernard Tomic’s Dad Now Head-Butting Practice Partners? It Appears To Be The Case!

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44 Comments for Does Tomic Have A Chance Tonight Against Federer?

Humble Rafa Says:

Tall Elf is down a break in the 2nd.


Kimmi Says:

great clip – few players answers questions, enjoyed it

http://youtu.be/LYksNwKIQek


Kimmi Says:

delpo cant find his range today..


Sandra Says:

Hope Delpo can come back and win. Would be sad if he loses so early.

About the tomic federer match I think the hype is overdone. As long that a decent playing federer shows up, tomic doesn’t have a chance imo.


Michael Says:

Roger should win this one in four sets utmost. I think Tomic will give a good fight this time and one or two would be tough sets. Considering that Federer is coming after a lay off, he would take time to get to his groom and if Tomic wins the first set, then he has a chance to make this a dog’s fight. But if he loses the first set, then Roger will steam roll him in straights.


Kimmi Says:

delpo :)


Humble Rafa Says:

Oh The Church of Oprah
Where the sinners go for forgiveness
And Continue to Lie
The Lying Liars


Humble Rafa Says:

Some guy named Bernanke is giving Mr. Lady Forehand a run for his money.


the DA Says:

^ yes, the chairman of the Federal Reserve is giving Murray a hard time. heeh


Kimmi Says:

tsonga has had straight forward so far. easy matches, no drama.

delpo levels the match and murray back in control.


Kimmi Says:

wow! delpo! all that effort


Kimmi Says:

chardy!! stunned..


Michael Says:

Ofcourse upsets do happen in Tennis. But the problem is that in the case of Del Potro, it happens often. If you are going to be upset by guys like Chardy, where is the salvation ??


Wog boy Says:

We are about to find out if Tomic has a chance.


duddette Says:

Seriously, why do they switch to women’s tennis? Whenever women’s tennis is on during a men’s match, I root for whoever is closest to winning so the torture can be over.


Wog boy Says:

I don’t know if viewers outside Australia have the same picture as us here but they did that Fango thing about how many Australians support Federer and how many support Tomic tonight. The result on TV screen was 55% goes for Federer and 45% for Tomic.


Daniel Says:

Jesus,

Federer had BP in 4 of 5 games this set and still didn’t break, he is 1-10 in the match bit at least he didn’t conceive a sinlge BP for Tomic.


Daniel Says:

Tomic is playing courageous tennis. Only way or him to have a chance, attack Federer. Another game where Federer gad BP. Tomic survived this whole set.


sub023 Says:

Damn Fed, how many break chances are you gonna leave unanswered?


Daniel Says:

Finally,

Fed lost 20 min in this set, shpuld have won way sooner. At least Tomic forces Federer to the brink.


gannu Says:

what kind of a draw federer has got at this age??? Davydenko-tomic-raonic-tsonga-murray-djoker?? shit thats the worst possible draw by far the worst!!!!


RD Says:

Fed is not even extending himself in this match. This is a mild hit-up on a practice court. Which is all he needs to do to beat Tomic.


the DA Says:

Great match! Federer had to dig deep, especially in that TB. At least Tomic backed up the talk. He’s headed in the right direction. Raonic next.


steve-o Says:

Hell of a match! Tomic is improved out of sight from last year. Federer had to work very hard tonight to win but in the end was able to get by in straights. Incredibly he wasn’t even broken once!

Raonic next, his draw is strewn with young phenoms…


Wog boy Says:

I said Federer in three easy sets … Well I retract “easy.”


Michael Says:

Now Tomic would have learnt the right lesson and realized that it is not easy to beat Roger even at this age. Even today at 31, Roger is invincible to all the other players other than the top Three. I thought Roger would finish him in four, but he did in three.


Sienna Says:

Oka have to give credit that Tomic did not fade in second set.
But Fed needs these matches in order to become ready for the second week of this slam.

2 hour matches are just what the docter ordered at this stage.
not to easy. He is getting probably not much running with Raonic and Tsonga. SO I hope he canget a good level of play before his semi with Murray.

Murray is already looking very strong not good but strong. Fed can handle Murray but then he needs top up his game.


Sandra Says:

Pretty comfartable victory for fed. He should have won the second set far easier however. He had 6 break chances.


Sandra Says:

‘comfortable’


alison Says:

Roger is pretty media savy by choosing not to get drawn into any Tomic mind games,and just going about the buisness of playing tennis,and letting his racquet do the talking,as for Tomic hes an up and coming talented young kid,but still has much to learn,a pretty straight forward result for Roger,whos looking very comfortable so far,good luck in the next round against Raonic.


Possum Says:

Memo to Master Tomic. It’s one thing beating players ranked outside the top 50 but another altogether facing up to an all time great. Stop flapping your gums, big-noting yourself and show more respect. You’ve done nothing significant to date and until you do you have not earned bragging rights.


Humble Rafa Says:

Oka have to give credit that Tomic did not fade in second set.
But Fed needs these matches in order to become ready for the second week of this slam.

It’s all in how you take it, isn’t it.

If the Arrogant One wins easily, he is poised to the AO champion

If he plays bad, he needs THESE type of matches to get ready for a tough 2nd week.

The rules of his followers…mind games with their own mind.


alison Says:

Humble Rafa lol.


Wog boy Says:

I don’t why I am watching it, probably because I cannot sleep, but Simon/Monfils is worst match so far I have seen, it is like senior citizen Ping-Pong, ugly tennis.


Wog boy Says:

Little bit more action in the last few games of the fifth set.


steve-o Says:

Didn’t think it was “comfortable” for Federer until about 4-1 in the third set. Until then it was extremely tight. Federer had to hit all his spots on serve and really use all his variety and aggression to outmaneuver Tomic.

Not a fan of the goatee on Monfils. There have been seven breaks so far in the fifth set, it’s like women’s tennis.

Like Wog boy, I’m not sure why I’m still watching.


Margot Says:

Wog boy/steve-o: 3rd set was so awful, I stopped. Popped back to see which one of them decided they wanted to win. Seems neither yet! Monfils is so far beyond the baseline he’s in the first row of spectators.


Wog boy Says:

If Andy is watching this match he must be loughing and thinking … ” another easy day in office” Simon is next one.


steve-o Says:

@Margot: I only started watching intermittently in the fifth.

It’s over, Simon won, and now he can crawl into bed and try to figure out how to get up for Murray on Monday.

They had a reaction shot of him sitting down afterwards, his head tilted back and lolling against the bench. He looked totally wasted.


steve-o Says:

And I’m sad for Del Potro and Cilic. Not a good night for the tall guys. I guess if you put Tomic in there, then it was really quite a bad night.


Wog boy Says:

steve-o,

You didn’t miss much, I was better of doing something else instead of watching last three sets snd wasted few hours. That was bordering with masohizm.


Wog boy Says:

BTW, there is 4-5 French boys in the fourth round, mat4 must be happy, are you reading this?
Time for bed.


skeezer Says:

“Does Tomic Have A Chance Tonight Against Federer?”

Uh….no.


the DA Says:

@ margot – After that 71-shot rally in the 2nd I couldn’t take anymore and switched off, and now see it went to 5! Apparently a journalist saw Simon after his match hobbling down a hall with his arm around a helper, touching the wall for balance. He was offered a wheelchair but wouldn’t accept.

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