Unless Wimbledon does something drastic like not following its very own men’s seeding formula, Rafael Nadal is expected to be seeded fifth when the tournament opens a week from today.
Nadal is a 2-time Wimbledon champion but his poor grass results the last 52 weeks will not push him ahead of 4th-ranked countryman David Ferrer who last year won Rosmalen and reached the Wimbledon fourth round.
In the No. 5 seeded position, Nadal will be projected to meet a Top 4 seed like Novak Djokovic, Andy Murray or Roger Federer in the quarterfinals. Ferrer twice had that unlucky distinction of drawing Nadal in the quarters at both Madrid and Rome when Rafa was seeded No. 5 at those events last month.
Federer, though, doesn’t mind that he could meet his rival as early as the quarterfinals and he doesn’t feel strongly that Nadal should be moved up in the seedings either.
“It’s the same debate before the French Open,” Federer said yesterday. “At the end he was seeded four. I as like ‘why the big fuss.’ Ferrer played rock solid last 365 days. What are you going to say? Rafa hadn’t played that much. That’s how the rankings go. But in probably a month or so Rafa is going to be the top 2 or 3. So, he’s going to be patient right now. It clearly changes the draw with the dynamics of it but not more than that really.
“I mean the quarterfinal is not first round. It’s still far away in the draw if you think about it.”
Murray, last year’s Wimbledon finalist and recent Queen’s winner, also doesn’t care much over where Rafa lands.
“I know there will be a lot of interest in the draw this year as Rafael Nadal looks like being seeded fifth, but as a player you can’t get too obsessed about the draw,” Murray wrote today in a column on the BBC. “I’d sign up to be in the quarter-finals against Rafa tomorrow if someone offered me that.”
Murray and Federer will be seeded No. 2 and 3, respectively, behind top seed Djokovic.
Wimbledon will officially announce their seedings on Wednesday. While the committee uses a formula for the men’s seedings, a practice first instituted in 2001, the tournament has the discretionary option to change the women’s order, though no deviations from the rankings are expected this year with Serena Williams firmly holding the top spot.
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