ATP London Race (20 Oct 14): Murray Moves Ahead; Federer Looks To Close No. 1 Gap In Basel
by Staff | October 19th, 2014, 9:24 pm
  • 67 Comments

With just two weeks to go, the Race for the London finals is really heating up. Already five spots have been booked with Kei Nishikori and Tomas Berdych all but assured berths in the prestigious year-end event.

That leaves one remaining spot open and right now thanks to a second title in four weeks it belongs to Andy Murray. The Scot now holds a significant 110 point lead over No. 9 David Ferrer who is also in Valencia as a 3-time champion. With 500 points up for grab this week, a Murray-Ferrer semifinal would be huge.

“The next few weeks are extremely important,” Murray said today after winning his 30th career title in Valencia. “Everyone is playing next week. I just need to win as many matches as possible to keep hold of the eighth spot [in the Emirates ATP Race To London] or go higher.”

If both Murray and Ferrer stumble, youngsters Milos Raonic and Grigor Dimitrov could rise up into the mix, but the two will have a tougher go in Basel where Roger Federer, Rafael Nadal and Stan Wawrinka are the top seeds. Raonic and Dimitrov are on opposite sides of the draw with the Canadian paired alongside Nadal and Dimitrov with Federer in the QF and Wawrinka in the SF.

In the No. 1 Race, Roger Federer, just 990 points from Novak Djokovic, can close the gap by 500 by winning in Basel. The idle Djokovic is expecting the birth of his first child in the next few weeks. And Federer could make up even more ground or possibly take the lead with a strong performance next week in Paris.

ATP Race to London Standings as of October 20, 2014
1 Novak Djokovic 9,010*
2 Roger Federer 8,020* (Basel)
3 Rafael Nadal 6,745* (Basel)
4 Stan Wawrinka 4,805* (Basel)
5 Kei Nishikori 4,265
6 Marin Cilic 4,150+
7 Tomas Berdych 4,105 (Valencia)
8 Andy Murray 3,885 (Valencia)

9 David Ferrer 3,775 (Valencia)
10 Milos Raonic 3,750 (Basel)
11 Grigor Dimitrov 3,555 (Basel)

* = clinched London berth; + = Grand Slam champion wildcard London berth

Race Points This Week in Basel/Valencia
W 500
F 300
SF 180
QF 90
R16 45
R32 0


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67 Comments for ATP London Race (20 Oct 14): Murray Moves Ahead; Federer Looks To Close No. 1 Gap In Basel

Skeezer Says:

Wow assuming alot with Fed. His odds at getting number 1 are not easy. He has to basically win Basel, do well ( how well? ) in Paris?..
Regardless. He’s had a fine year.


Humble Rafa Says:

Do you still get cows for winning Basel? My household cannot keep up with Uncle Toni’s appetite for milk.


Michael Says:

Right now it appears that Andy is in the race to WTF, but still there is not much seperating No.8, 9, 10 and there is lot to play for. Good performance from hereon might prove crucial in this race to the finish. I hope Andy qualifies, for if not, it would rob the year end tournament of its charm.


Hippy Chick Says:

Michael i very much doubt Rafa will play,so i think someones life might get easier when it comes to qualifying?….


sienna Says:

Federer will not play Paris, not with DC final to follow.
he might pull out last minute. opposite djokovic in draw it is better to pull out last minute so his spot in draw would be a ll instead of a top seed.

all mindgames from now on.


Eric Says:

Federer is quite unlikely to end the year at no. 1 unless he wins either Paris or the WTF. But he is pretty close, which is frankly shocking after his 2013. It’s even more surprising if you consider that he has lost to Djokovic so many times this season. Maybe 2015 is the year for his CYGS…. ;)


Marcin Says:

I would like to see Fed to get back to number 1 in the world because of 3 reasons:
1. He is playing great right now and he deserves it
2. He is getting old so it could be great to see that you don’t have to be a teenager to keep the highest rank
3. To show all the players and coaches that you can be the best in the world with coming to the net in modern tennis


Humble Rafa Says:

To all those “Scott loving Brits”, what has Mr. Lady Forehand accomplished this year to be in the WTF?


Polo Says:

This race has become very interesting especially as regards Nadal. Appendicitis and all, I’m curious to see if he will pull out if there’s easy money to be had.


Daniel Says:

To me Federer’s next move will depend on Basel. If he wins it he will be less than 500 pts from Djokovic with DC finals points to be add and possiblity fo Djokovic not playomg 1 of the remaining 2 turneys he is scheduled to play.

Also if he wins Basel basically it will be who performa better in Paris and WTF. If neither Djoko nor Federer wins Paris and let’s say both loses in semis as thus year US Open. The #1 ranking can be determined in the last match for London title.

It all depends on Basel and Fed’s draw there js pretty loaded with Dimitrov in Quarters and Wawa in semis. Will see.

If anyone has latest news on Babyvic that could be insightfull as well.


Giles Says:

What on earth is Polo talking about? Please explain. What “easy money”? From whom?


RZ Says:

@HR – he almost beat you in Rome. Isn’t that enough? (And once again, please come up with a different nickname for him than “Lady Forehand.” It’s sexist).


RZ Says:

Nice that Andy is picking up his game at the end of the year. If he qualifies, he definitely would have done it the hard way, as he’s been playing the tournaments with tougher competition.

Just too bad that Berdych has also picked up his game during this stretch. I’d rather see Ferrer qualify over him but it doesn’t look likely. Right now it looks like Berdych and Nishikori will be in, and either Murray or Ferrer with the other as an alternate.


Polo Says:

Giles, you are smarter than that.


Polo Says:

Well, Giles, just in case I was wrong about you, “easy money” means just that. You make a lot of money just by appearing and playing a match, even just a couple of games. That’s easy money. You deserve it, of course, because you have done enough to get there. It’s easy money when you know you ought to be doing something else and your chance of winning the whole thing is much less than 50% but still goes because the money guarantee is 100% and you don’t really need to break a set. Giles, I hope you understand what “easy money” means now. It’s not bad per se. It just shows you how strong a magnet money can be. Given Nadal’s situation, I would probably do the same thing. Human nature.


Giles Says:

Polo. Are you talking about the WTF?


jane Says:

daniel i think babyvic is due this week!

also, are you sure dc points get counted this year and not next? i thought i read somewhere that they don’t but maybe it was in relation to something else.


Margot Says:

@RZ
I’ll talk to you, rather than uknowwho..
Better reasons:
Andy and Nole are the only players who have reached the quarters of all the slams this year
Andy is 5th in active players who have 30 titles
Andy is 4th in matches won this year.
3 good reasons, I’d say.


Hippy Chick Says:

Margot looking at it like that Andy has had a pretty good year,very proud of him,ive been looking at it as the glass half empty,rather than been half full,i feel rather foolish now,especially when i see those stats….


jane Says:

good reasons indeed margot.


Margot Says:

Thanx gals :)
No worries Hippy :)


Hippy Chick Says:

Rafa beat Bolelli 2 and 2,dont know how far he will go this week,no unrealistic expectations,still surprised hes decided to play….


RZ Says:

@Margot – good reasons for sure. Plus this is the 8th year in a row where Andy has won 2 or more titles.
@Hippy Chick – yes, there has been a lot of looking at Andy’s year as glass half empty rather than half full.


Hippy Chick Says:

RZ im sitting here with my virtual tail between my legs as it were,i should think more positive rather than negative,especially being a spiritual person and all….


Mark A Says:

@Eric Are you aware that Federer leads Djokovic 3-2 this year. IMO he really should have beat him AT wimbledon, deserved to even. He has been the most consistent place and clearly the most improved from last year. He may not end up world no 1 this year but will next after winning WTF and at least one slam in 2015.


jane Says:

i think nole deserved to win the wimbledon final and should’ve won it in straight sets, or at least in 4 sets. but he choked in the 4th set causing it to go 5. and in the first set, i think he played a bit too passively on some of the points in the tiebreaker whereas fed didn’t and that made the difference in that set. but nole won the second, third, and was serving for the match in the 4th. he clearly deserved his win.


RZ Says:

@Hippy Chick- it’s because these guys have set such a high standard that we never expect them to come down to earth. Any pro ranked lower than #12 would absolutely have loved to have the results that Andy did this year. But for those of us not playing, it seems as if this year has been bleak.


Wog boy Says:

@jane,
I was wondering same thing, when do they officialy declare year end No. 1? Is it after YEC or DC final. If it is after DC final Federer is in with a good chance since he is looking at winning 225 points (including bonus of 75 points) and Nole is losing 150 points (I don’t know if Nole got the 75 points bonus last year) from last year DC final, which gives Federer extra 375 points.
If Federer is to end up #1 he deserves it and Nole can only blame himself for his poor performance in North America swing this northern summer.


RZ Says:

@Wog boy – I think they declare it at the point that no one else could become number 1. My guess is that this year, the Paris Masters and the WTF will have a big say in it, assuming that Fed does well at those tournaments (and assuming he even plays Paris).

I’m not sure when DC points get counted. I remember reading somewhere last year that DC points should have pushed Berdych’s ranking ahead of Fed’s but it wasn’t reflected on the ATP’s site for rankings at the end of last year.


Wog boy Says:

@RZ, thanks very much.
You are right about points earned playing DC final, it appears that they are counting them for the next season, don’t know?
Maybe it is because YEC is the last official tournament of the year so they do point cut with that tournament and everything after (DC final goes for next year)?


Wog boy Says:

^^ “…after (DC final) goes for next year?”


TennisVagabond.com Says:

Great to see Rafa playing well. Fed has his work cut out for him. He has a tougher draw at this 500 than he did at USO!


TennisVagabond.com Says:

Also, great to see Goffin continue his success at ATP level. I’ll never forget the potential he showed against Fed a few years back at the French. He could yet emerge as a top 16 player.


Daniel Says:

Well if DC doesn’t count this week in Basek is vital for Fed. and of course Babyvic. We can see neither afed or Djoko playing Paris depending on how things go.


Daniel Says:

In the meantimeNadal had a easy win and shpuld get another next round. Quarters where he can face Gulbis if he goes that far and Raomic semis, if he goes that far as well. If his draw open up we can see a anadal x Federer final in Basel. Just hope Fed wim this ome as he lost last 2 to DelPo.


elina Says:

And so many financial advisors as well here! You guys! Who knew?

Where were those same helpful advisors last year when Roger collected his so-called “easy money” obviously struggling with a bad back?

And for Murray as well with his back injury so obviously chasing his next easy pay day from one tournament to the next.

Everyone looking out for poor Rafa.

As Fabio would say… You serious?


Humble Rafa Says:

Goffin is going to put some people’s career in the coffin pretty soon.


Steve 27 Says:

Djokovic has to best player of this season and all depends of him. Lets hope his child will be another motivation to end as number 1 and equal Rafa in that regard.
Vamos Nole!


Hippy Chick Says:

Steve 27 its almost certain that Nole will surpass Rafa with weeks at number 1….


Steve 27 Says:

Fine with me, Hippy Chick.


Hippy Chick Says:

Fine with me too Steve 27,and not to p*ss on Nole,but i dont think Rafa would loss much sleep about it having 14 GS….


Humble Rafa Says:

Of all my problems, I am not concerned with someone overtaking me on the number of weeks at Number 1.
GOATs and GOAT owners have no such worries. I will let the lesser mortals worry about it.


Hippy Chick Says:

Ave a day off Humble Rafa purlease for gods sake?….


Giles Says:

HC. What on earth is your problem with HR??? Don’t you like a little humour in your life ??
I think you complain too much when it is absolutely unnecessary at times.
I enjoy HR so please do continue to post your humorous and witty posts @ HR. I do appreciate them.
Geeeeeeez!!!


Brando GOAT poster Says:

@Humble Rafa: lmao. Keep the good stuff coming! Consistently staying in character for many a year: Vamos!


Brando GOAT poster Says:

@Giles: brilliant post @ 8.30 and agree with it all. Atleast Humble Rafa does not spend his time here moaning, complaining, kissing up to others etc on here. He brings a light tone to proceedings around here. Some like it others don’t. Fair enough. But atleast he’s here with a humorous tone unlike some! Agree fully with the post and seconded on keep it coming HR call!


Margot Says:

@Hippy
I’ll second that. HR is sexist and repeats the same stuff over and over. Extremely tedious.


Giles Says:

@Brando. Thanx :)


Giles Says:

Nah, HR always provides new material, unlike some.


skeezer Says:

Yep it seems mostly that fans of Rafa like HR’s
mockery of Tennis. Why is that? Doh!


Giles Says:

https://twitter.com/rossana_capo/status/524591092181000192
Oh dear, fed wasn’t invited to play in Basel this year apparently!


Brando GOAT poster Says:

@Giles: “Nah, HR always provides new material, unlike some.”: spot on! HR is here for a laugh, keeps it fresh and light. Atleast he is not routinely, embarrassingly moaning, groaning, having a episode on here, apart of a sheepish clique that sides with another based on gender, pathetically throwing baseless accusations or routinely writing pessimistic, excuse ridden BS about their fav. HR does none of that rubbish. That yawn worthy trash. He’s been on here for many a year and he’s poked fun at all players. Sometimes he’s been hilarious other times not much at all. Atleast he’s not one thing: a bore. A complainer. I’ll take his posts anyday over some of rubbish some post here which seems like drivel on repeat. I’ll end here on the note that: if you cannot stand HR don’t read his posts or moan about him. No one is asking you to do either and the complaining is way more pathetically tedious than any attempt at humour by HR. and to end on this farcical picking on HR: keep the good stuff coming HR!


Brando GOAT poster Says:

@Giles: but does Fed not play Basel for free? He pretty much turns there regardless as a homecoming event. What’s the beef with the organisers over then? Biggest draw possible for that event and he’s there for free: bit of a gimme rather than a cause to get peeved.


Giles Says:

@Brando. Sounds like fed and Brennwald are still at war with each other. Does fed really play Basel for free? Hmmm!


sienna Says:

Roger and Rafa never play a tournement for free. talking of course about anything less then masters.

Roger plays DC for free.

Both receive aprox. 1 million euro for 1 week tennis.
so maybe even more when longterm commitment is on offer.
and with team Nadal probably T is also taking something on the side.


Giles Says:

Wawa out of Basel.


jane Says:

Babyvic is here! It’s a boy… :)


Hippy Chick Says:

Congrats to Nole and Jelena,on little Djoker junior,any names as yet?


RZ Says:

I’m beginning to think that Wawrinka is the favorite to win the WTF, since winning there would be consistent with his very up and down year.


Hippy Chick Says:

Brando Goat Poster/Giles i assume you were both reffering to moi,although i dont know why niether of you were not man enough to confront me directly,instead you both make indirect sly digs?? its strange what some people think passes for humour,as the saying goes little things please little minds….


Brando GOAT poster Says:

Re Wawa: he’s been dreadful post USO. 3 events, 3 early exits. Not winning WTF with that form.


Hippy Chick Says:

Margot @1.21pm thanx glad im not alone….


RZ Says:

@Brando – probably not, but it would be typical of this year if he did.


Brando GOAT Poster Says:

@RZ:

Yes in a strange way it would be quite fitting for the YEC to be won by a surprising performer rather than a traditional winner considering how, in many ways, this year has been such a open, fragmented year lacking in a one true dominant force who ruled the tour for a stretch.

Barring Nadal at French Open- which some could argue was a surprise in itself considering how well below par Rafa was during Clay season this year- and maybe Novak at Wimbledon all the winners this year have been extremely surprising.

The traditional top names, whilst still putting up a good showing, collectively have not dominated like years gone by.

Really the true story has been the new faces holding the big titles this year:

Wawrinka, Cilic and even Nishikori i’d argue.

Those guys have really written the biggest headlines, caused the biggest stir on the tour this year.

All that said- as of this moment- my WTF picks would be:

1. Djokovic: Provided he’s in form, good touch I favour him.

2. Federer: Again- form, fitness permitted hard to see past him v Novak in the final.

3. Nishikori: For me the biggest breakthrough player who is lacking the big title to show for it. He could strike here quite possibly.

3 (tied with Kei). Muzza: Should he perform well at Valencia and Paris (I expect him to) then I see no real reason why he cannot strike at WTF.

It’s all provided Kei and Andy qualify of course, but really I see it as a Novak/Fed show with only Kei and Andy being the dark horses.

Wawrinka I just do not see happening at all, although- whilst I do not predict it- Cilic with his game could be a real factor IF he feels good and gets on a roll.

The rest I see as participants and nothing more really.


Steve 27 Says:

Andy for the WTF.
Is written on the stars.


Giles Says:

HC. Oct 21st 8.30 pm. That was my post to you and yet you are accusing me of not being man enough to confront you! Read it why don’t you!!


Hippy Chick Says:

Giles fair enough,but your fellow internet friend did not even use my name personally,instead chose to use indirect sly digs in my direction,and now ive just done the same,see so now ive just brought myself down to your childish level….

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