As was discussed on ESPN2 earlier today during the Andy Murray-Dominic Thiem match, Rafael Nadal will drop out of the Top 4 in the rankings on Monday, and he could fall to No. 6 if David Ferrer wins the title.
Fortunately for Nadal, he will have points to pick on the clay. Usually he has to defend week after week on the dirt, but not this season. After a down pre-French clay campaign in 2014, he’ll only have Madrid to defend with points to pick up in Monte Carlo (QF), Barcelona (QF) and Rome (F).
But if Nadal doesn’t get his ranking back into the Top 4, he runs the risk (1 in 4 chance) of drawing his main clay threat Novak Djokovic as early as the quarterfinals at the French Open, as well as other events like Monte Carlo where the Top 4 will play.
Nadal has been ranked in the Top 5 every day since May 8, 2005.
Monte Carlo, where Nadal has won 8 times, begins on April 12.
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