So the match fixing saga continues and today gambling “watchdog” ESSA released a report which revealed 73 matches during the 2015 pro tennis season were identified as “suspicious” and therefore flagged.
What suspicious actually means is anyone’s guess but 73 matches did trigger their alert system. Sounds bad right?
Well, you should understand there were A LOT of matches played in 2015. And I would presume many of them could be wagered on.
Just a guess rough total, there were 6,000 matches** alone at the ATP and WTA level (inc main draw, doubles and mixed), another 12,000 at the Challenger/ITF levels and maybe 20,000 more in Futures?
So that’s 73 out of maybe 38,000 matches played? That’s 0.2% and the report doesn’t even tells us who was involved in these matches, where they took place or at the very least on what level.
Were they Grand Slam matches or ATP/WTA matches? If so, that’s big.
Were they Challenger or were they Futures?
I guess we are left to speculate and just assume – as a casual tennis fan unaware of the lower levels on the sport likely would – that these must be the same matches we watch on TV, right?
Because if we are just talking about Futures doubles matches in Tunisia involving unranked players like the guy who got busted yesterday, then I’m not really that interested. Sorry.
And the reports compare tennis to other sports including Snooker and “Greyhound” (both has 1 “alert” each). Well again, what’s the percentage? Because I’m quite sure there are more opportunities to bet on tennis than on snooker!
Of course we don’t know – and no one is willing to tell us – and to me until we start getting hard details and evidence this ultimately won’t amount to much more than what it’s starting to resemble, and that’s a smear campaign.
** I arrived at the 6,000 ATP/WTA matches number estimating 500 wagerable matches at every Slam, plus another 2,000 on each tour (with doubles). Then I doubled that number for Challengers and doubled that for Futures. Feel free to correct me if I’m wrong. There might be more because outside of Slams I didn’t account for qualies at any level.
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