The ATP has only officially qualified five of the eight spots based on math, but reality is seven of them are taken with just one spot left.
Gael Monfils and Rafael Nadal
and Dominic Thiem are going to get in (unless Paris is absolute mayhem) so the final spot will go down to Dominic Thiem, Tomas Berdych, David Goffin, Marin Cilic or Roberto Bautista Agut who is playing this week in Moscow.
Next week, Cilic and Goffin are both playing in Basel (alongside Nadal, Raonic and Nishikori) while Berdych and RBA are in Vienna with Andy Murray and Dominic Thiem.
And with Paris a huge player in this, you have to think a guy who won there before in Berdych is the favorite to do well enough this homestretch to clinch that final spot.
The ATP “Race” leaderboard going into today:
1 Novak Djokovic 10600
2 Andy Murray 9685
3 Stan Wawrinka 5060
4 Milos Raonic 4690
5 Kei Nishikori 4360
6 Gael Monfils 3625 (playing Stockholm R16 Thurs)
7 Rafael Nadal 3300
8 Dominic Thiem 3205
9 Tomas Berdych 2880
10 David Goffin 2645
11 Marin Cilic 2590
12 Nick Kyrgios 2460 (banned)
13 Roberto Bautista Agut 2340 (playing Stockholm R16 Thurs)
A couple guys further down on the list are Frenchmen Lucas Pouille and JW Tsonga, who both could do serious damage in Paris. But we’ll see.
Obviously, the big drama on the men’s tour is the race for the No. 1 ranking between Djokovic and Murray. I’ll have more on that in another post.
The ATP Finals begin on November 13.
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