Federer, Wawrinka Roll Into All-Swiss Indian Wells Final, Who’s The Pick?
by Sean Randall | March 18th, 2017, 10:50 pm
  • 102 Comments

After days of mayhem, things settled down on semifinal Saturday at Indian Wells, as form finally held. Both Swiss players dominated, more or less, to advance to the first all-Swiss final at a hardcourt Masters.

Wawrinka was up first against the surprise of the tournament, Pablo Carreno Busta. The hard-hitting 25-year-old Spaniard had caught fire since Australia reaching his fourth straight semifinal and his first at the Masters level this week. And he started off pretty well hanging in against Wawrinka who needed consecutive third set tiebreakers just to get to the weekend.

Stan, though, eventually found the mark as the Carreno Busta’s shots began to fade and become less effective. Wawrinka dialed in, never dropped served and pulled away from 3-3 in the first to win it 6-3, 6-2.

“It’s an amazing result to be in the final here, especially in Indian Wells, one of the best Masters 1000,” said Wawrinka who lost just three points on serve in the second. “I am really happy with the way I’m playing.”

After nearly getting sent packing by “lucky loser” Yoshihito Nishioka on Wednesday, the win was a welcome relief for Wawrinka.

“Most of the time I know when I start to win the matches in the tournament, I start to get confidence, the good feeling with the ball,” Wawrinka said. “I know I play better and better.”

And today Stan played like he’s built: Rock solid. He never even faced a break point.

Carreno Busta had the tournament of his life, and maybe now that he’s cracked the Top 20, he’ll live up to the billing as one of the next top players from Spain.

Federer was up next trying to keep the all-Swiss dream alive and reach his first Masters final since 2015 Cincinnati. And early on against Jack Sock it looked like a foregone conclusion.

Federer picked right up where he left off in his win over Rafael Nadal, blitzing Sock who was in his first Masters semifinal.

With all pistons firing, Federer blitzed Sock in teh first with barely a sweat in a 6-1 21-minute first set.

After a potty break, Sock found some form immediately in the second, and it became a match. Sock finally got some forehands which he fired to Federer’s backhand, and he began to dictate…a little. But not enough.

Federer was still flawless on his serve as Sock finished the afternoon without seeing a single break point.

But Sock was also holding comfortably as the two headed for the breaker. Sock got the early mini-break to lead 3-1 and then, just as there was some light for the American, Federer closed the curtains winning six of the last seven points to take a 6-1, 7-6(4) victory and reach his seventh Indian Wells final, and Novak Djokovic-tying 43rd overall Masters final.

“I definitely played great in the first set. I came out and really saw the ball well… The second set was more like what I expected the first set to be, to be quite honest, before the match. It was hard to break and return well off Jack’s heavy serve,” Federer said. “Things got a bit more complicated, but it was definitely a good feeling to get through in two sets and to be back in another final here.”

As for Sock, like Carreno Busta, he too showed signs this week of becoming a Top 10 threat.

“I have a clear picture of what I want to do when I go out on court,” said Sock who saved four matchpoints in a Wednesday win. “I’m going to go out and play on my terms, win or lose. If I win, it’s amazing, move on to the next round. If I lose, I’m OK with going out and playing how I want to play.

“In the past, I’d be going out and if I lost, it’d be because the other guy got in my way or got in my head. Now I feel like I’m going out and playing relaxed, calm tennis, but on my terms.”

And he’ll have another chance at a Masters final, maybe many more.

So on to the final…

Roger Federer v Stan Wawrinka
At the start of the tournament I picked Federer to win it. I don’t see any compelling reason to change now.

Federer leads Stan 19-3 having won the last three including the Australian Open semifinals in January. And most importantly, Federer 14-0 against Stan on hardcourts. To me, that’s the difference here.

Fed’s in Stan’s head. And he’s also playing top-flight tennis, serving well, ripping his ground strokes and moving effortlessly. Call it talent, blame it on the larger racquet. Whatever. Roger’s playing great but Stan’s a different match that a Sock or a Nadal.

“He does a really nice job of defending and then creating, going from defense to offense. He’s improved his serve. Especially as he goes deeper in the tournament, his confidence builds. That’s when he’s harder to stop,” Federer said of Wawrinka. “I have variation. I have an offensive mindset that’s in my DNA. Sometimes for a player like Stan, he likes to have a bit more time and I can maybe rush him. But we’ll see if that’s possible tomorrow.”

And if Roger does jump out early with a quick break, that will pset the pace.

Stan played great today and he’s a big match player, we know. And if it were anyone else like an Andy Murray or a Novak Djokovic in this final, maybe I pick Stan. But just with the way Roger’s been playing and that fact that it’s hardcourts and the 14-0 advantage on the surface, I just have to stay with Roger here.

With everything pointing to Federer, could Stan pull the upset? He could. Some would say he should, after all he’s the more powerful player and the court should be good for him. And to do it Stan will have to continue to serve well like he did today and not have any lapses like we’ve seen earlier in the week. This is best-of-3, not best-of-5 so there’s less margin for error, less time to work your way back in, and that works against Stan.

So to me, Federer just looks so at ease, so carefree out there. Just amazing.
The Pick: Federer in 2

ESPN has live coverage of the women’s final between Elena Vesnina and Svetlana Kuznetsova at 2pm ET followed by the men’s championship match.


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102 Comments for Federer, Wawrinka Roll Into All-Swiss Indian Wells Final, Who’s The Pick?

Amit Says:

I am not so sure offed winning this match as I strongly believe in the law of averages eventually catching up with everybody, and the mere fact that Fed is 14-0 on HC makes me that much more worried!! I hope tomorrow Fed momentum of HC wins vs Stan continues instead of law of averages getting to him… It’ll be disappointing to see Fed not win.. I like Stan, but not vs Fed in a IW final, which Fed reaches after draw of death!!!


skeezer Says:

Lets go Fed!

For the tennis players out there;

https://www.playyourcourt.com/news/improve/17-tennis-problems-only-a-tennis-player-will-understand/

Margot pay attention to #12. 😀👍🎾


tennismonger Says:

I can’t disagree w/Sean’s assessment…

But if Stan’s coach reminds him that this is the 5th Slam…LOOK OUT!


Margot Says:

Lol skeeze, I thought they were all really funny! And, as a <pale skinned Scot, Andy should never take that shirt off in the sun! T’aint right.


SG1 Says:

Picked fed from the outset. Sticking with my pick.


Aced out Says:

Fed all the way in this one …. here’s some interesting stuff on Roger …. http://www.138mph.com/the-curious-case-of-roger-federer/


autoFilter Says:

Oops, wrong thread, sorry.


steve-o Says:

C’mon Roger!

He’s hungry after so much time off, and particularly for this title after losing two straight finals in 2014-15.

On HC he can play more aggressively and take Wawrinka’s time away, he can definitely win this one.


jalep Says:

Weekly Draw Challenge winners:

WTA — Farah Diba/Andi Mira👍 The only one who even picked ONE right semi-finalist!! Congrats AM! You picked Kuznetsova
http://www.tennisdrawchallenge.com/group/picks/68/wta/bracket/2017-indian-wells

ATP — Amit 👍 = Congrats Amit edges out manwerty by picking Federer to the final and the only one who picked Wawrinka to the semi-final. Even if Federer wins, manwerty will fall short by 2 points, which isn’t bad because he was at the bottom most of the week
http://www.tennisdrawchallenge.com/group/picks/68/atp/bracket/2017-indian-wells

Miami brackets will open after main draws are picked – don’t go by times posted on the draw challenge unless you live in UTC time zone :D


J.S. Says:

YAY I will be back to play in the Miami draw…..so fun! :)


jalep Says:

J.S.

This is not the same draw challenge as the one you joined for the GS. It’s not Tennis Channel’s “tournytopia”.

It’s here: http://www.tennisdrawchallenge.com/
You are welcome to join our group jalep_wildguess.

Just register at the link above. Then go to the group menu and click on our group or any group you’d like! Cheers, hope to see you. jalep/ratcliff 🙂


jalep Says:

From Miami Open twitter
Women’s draw will be announced Sunday evening.

Men’s draw will be announced Monday afternoon.

(US Eastern Daylight Time)


Kimberly Says:

going to the womens draw ceremony at the lacoste store


jalep Says:

Sounds like fun ^^

who would have guessed it…
Congrats to Elina Vesnina! 😘 IW Champ


Daniel Says:

3 points, 2 BH winners by Fed


J.S. Says:

wow great match! Federer/Wawrinka – who will win???
Getting chocolate and vino!


Berghain Says:

Yes! First set Fed 6-4


J.S. Says:

nevermind Roger just broke!


Daniel Says:

Wow, what a way to close first set. Longest rally of the match. They were both holding easy and fast (29 minutes for a 6-4 set), but Wawa second serve percentage was low.

Fed 1-0 and serving first second set. This could be a quick straight set win for him, much needed. And he is holding fine the Bh to BH exchanges.


jatin Says:

Amazing set of tennis by fed.. Loving it


J.S. Says:

Berghain – Neppers :)


J.S. Says:

YEPPERS


Daniel Says:

Wawa more aggressive breaking Fed to open second set on his third BP.


J.S. Says:

YEP! I like it too!!! woohoo


Berghain Says:

Not Looking good in 2nd set. Stan up a break – he is bludgeoning the ball.


Berghain Says:

BP Fed Cmon! Wawrinka challange… no way! its in :(


Amit Says:

First of all I couldn’t be happier for winning the bracket challenge!! Thank you jalep dear for the felicitation here,lol 😁😁😁
And secondly Fed winning early will be good for my health as it’s 4 o clock deep night here😐😐😐


Amit Says:

I don’t feel good about this match right now.. 😑😕


Amit Says:

I have a feeling Fed may lose it ! Hope to be proved wrong though!!!


FedExpress Says:

me neither. but i have hope.


FedExpress Says:

fells like their monte carlo meeting in 2014.


jatin Says:

Amit… Same here…
Its 4 AM already. Hope he wins…


Amit Says:

AM dear, congrats on winning WTA bracket challenge!! 😛😛😛


Berghain Says:

me also not. But if Stan hits this big he will start missing. 2bp Fed.


Amit Says:

Jatin, am sure we are Indians both, as our name indicates, so are in same time zone…


Daniel Says:

Yeah, great defense to break back, now go on and hold.


FedExpress Says:

in the worst case scenario i will watch the 5th set of AO final again. Gives me always positve vibes in bad times. that feeling on that day nobody can take ever away from me.


Amit Says:

Fed express: touchwood to that 5th set!!!😎😎😎


Daniel Says:

Hold, 3-2!

Berghain was right, Wawa was hitting too much and eventually missed a few. Fed had BP, last 2 games he served, let’s see if this trend continues.


jatin Says:

Fed is back in driver seat… Just need to break him once now


jatin Says:

Yeah… Obviously amit :)


Amit Says:

Feddy bear, win it asap!!!


FedExpress Says:

A tiebreaker would be too much to handle when a tournament win is at stake.

monte carlo 2014 was enough. so was rome 2006


Amit Says:

Jatin👍👍👍


J.S. Says:

I disagree think Stan is choking! UGH!!! It is late here too in S Italy, COME ON WAWRINKA!


Amit Says:

Badly want Fed win!!!


jatin Says:

Fed express
Fed will win for sure


FedExpress Says:

Fed has to grind it out. Wawrinka wont give up. He is a proven fighter and battler.


Vinod Says:

Come on FED win it soon and we will get some sleep :)


Berghain Says:

Better win in 2. Could ge either way in the 3rd.


Amit Says:

Lol, all up for watchinh Fed lol


Vinod Says:

How deep wawrinka is standing behind base line !


FedExpress Says:

hmmm.


jatin Says:

Just 1 game away….


jatin Says:

Vinod..
Feeling the same way.
Hope he breaks here


Berghain Says:

Omg Stan is hammering the ball.


Daniel Says:

5-5, tense moments. C’mon and hold Fed and at least guarantee tiebreak and pass pressure back to Wawa.


FedExpress Says:

stan, i like you but a little bit less today


Amit Says:

It sucks..


Daniel Says:

Fed is making some magic BH volleys today, wow!


FedExpress Says:

if stan wins the TB he will serve first in the 3rd. and i dont like that idea.


Amit Says:

Stan is a real big match player who can beat everyone.


Daniel Says:

30-30, time to serve smart Fed. open court.


Daniel Says:

6-5. Now c’mon and have another mini choke Wawa. Time to miss a fe shots.


jatin Says:

Fed is hanging on against stan’s bullets…


FedExpress Says:

One can sense the fire to fight in wawrinkas eyes. he likes such matches.

TB would be too much like MC 2014


Daniel Says:

30-30, 2 points away. Time to be aggressive Fed.


Daniel Says:

He went for the winner and missed


FedExpress Says:

now it feels defintly the same as in MC 2014


Berghain Says:

Deuce. Cmon Fed!


Berghain Says:

Yes! Good match. Awesome!!!!!


Vinod Says:

woooohhoooo !!!


Van orten Says:

2017 ao and iw?! Incredible


steve-o Says:

Yess!


jatin Says:

Yeeeeeee
Congrts to all fed fans… He did it…..
Just so happy right now… He is rolling back the years.


J.S. Says:

Congrats to Federer fans, he is on a mission, ENJOY!!!!!


Berghain Says:

Is Stan having some tears… ah poor guy. Lol he called Fed an ass. Whats going?


Daniel Says:

YEAAAAHHHHH!! 5th IW title tieing Djoko. 90th title and 25 Masters without losing a set.

Proving that AO was no fluke and he is totally grooved for the year. 2 top 10 wins this tourney. Move to #6 in ranking and increase his margin in race rankings.

Hope he keeps this form in Miami.


Mjj288 Says:

I was wondering the same thing. Turned it on and Stan was crying during the trophy presentation. Then, called Roger an asshole (while smiling) because Roger was laughing.


Berghain Says:

Awkward runner up speech from Stan.


J.S. Says:

AWE I like Stan after that speech….poor baby! So heartfelt and haven’t seen that side of him glad he called Federer an asshole for laughing – hate the smugness no matter who wins! Get over yourself!


Berghain Says:

Fed tries to lift the trophy then its so heavy hes like “forget it”


Daniel Says:

3 titles from surpassing Lendl 92 titles being all time second, he should do it this year if he keeps this pace.

Maybe he can get another IW/Miami double, but he hasn’t been successful in Miami since 2006.


Miles Says:

JS – Roger was able to laugh at Stan calling him an asshole – that doesn’t seem smug to me.

Prior to that he was probably smiling at the irony of Stan being tearful, when it’s usually Federer himself doing that!


FedExpress Says:

congratz fed fans. thats a beautiful dream which becomes reality. i am in awe. such an inspiration


Bob Lewis Says:

I felt for Stan, watching get choked up during his speech. Shows how badly he wanted the title. Who knows what might have happened if Kyrgios was healthy enough to play the other day, but that’s life. Stan didn’t play a bad match, his level might have been good enough to beat anyone else, just couldn’t apply enough pressure to Fed’s service games most of the time. That’s where a guy like Nole really shines and creates lots of break point chances. Anyway congrats to the Fed.


skeezer Says:

Great match. The tactics they were playin on each other was fun to watch. Fed went exclusively to the BH slice @4-5, creating errors from Stanimal.
Congrats Fed & Fed fans, amazing uear already, no matter what happens from here on out.
Gravy👍🎾


Markus Says:

That just adds an ! to my favorite number: 18!


Emily Says:

Congrats to Fed fans, but Stan’s speech wasn’t easy to watch. He worked so hard to get to the final and he played to win today. It wasn’t enough against Federer, but considering he usually does awful at this tournament, Stan was telling the truth when he said the finalist trophy made it ok (and getting to call Roger an asshole probably helps as well) ;)


skeezer Says:

Emily,
Here here!


RZ Says:

Wow, what a start to 2017 for Fed! Proving he is ageless. And think of all the times people called for his retirement as far back as 2010.


skeezer Says:

Where is CF1 and the Church?
Countless posts on weak era = RF and now RF is having his best start of the year since 2004. Ya know, that weak era thingy.
👎


skeezer Says:

BTW,
Wawa to some looks a little chunky, but he only weighs 81kg, ya know, almost Novaks weight. Just sayin….


Aced out Says:

Federer recent resurgence suggests that this article may be onto something here ….http://www.138mph.com/the-curious-case-of-roger-federer/


Wog Boy Says:

“BTW,
Wawa to some looks a little chunky, but he only weighs 81kg, ya know, almost Novaks weight. Just sayin….”

Novak Djokovic:

188cm 75kg

Stan Wawrinka:

183cm 81kg

Not even close, particularly comparing height and weight.
Slimy, at least have a decency to post facts in full.


Giles Says:

The Swiss are good at crying during trophy presentations! Lol


skeezer Says:

Was comparing it to his prior weight 176. Regardless, Stan is not chunky. The world is not flat, Fed just won a masters @ grandpa age, and I accept your congratulations of the Maestro’s big win.


madmax Says:

Berghain Says:
Awkward runner up speech from Stan.

March 19th, 2017 at 7:18 pm

No….these two know each other inside out. I don’t blame Stan for saying what he said at all…not only that, you can tell the both of them love each other like brothers, but that has to be put to one side in competition.

Stan’s shots, that backhand, totally awesome and awe inspiring, on any given day, Stan can beat anyone. He has proved that.

Federer is just in the zone, in the God zone in the God mode right now.

Love them both.


madmax Says:

hehe Skeezer,

You will never get that from some.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/tennis/2017/03/20/stan-wawrinka-jokingly-calls-roger-federer-emotional-speech/

All in good mirth.

Tiredness catches up with everyone eventually. Stan will recover. Champ.


SG1 Says:

Fed is doing something very special right now. He’s raising the “Greatness” bar for all that follow him. I truly thought his major run was done by 2010. 7 years later he’s winning slams and MS1000 tournaments. He may in fact be a better ball striker today than he was 10 years ago. From the backhand side, he’s never been better. Just scary!

I said this to Sean a while ago and he sort of disagreed with me. I think Federer’s tool box is just bigger than everyone else’s. He’s learned (crazy when you think about) how to dig deeper into a tool box that’s already the most complete in history. I am impressed beyond words.

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