7 Things I Think I Thought About Novak Djokovic, The GOAT Race And The French Open

by Sean Randall | June 13th, 2023, 3:00 pm
  • 6 Comments

It was yet another historic weekend in pro tennis. A common occurrence that we take from granted just about every final weekend of a Grand Slam tournament. I can’t recall when the last time there wasn’t anything major at stake.

We are now 48 hours after Novak Djokovic’s record-breaker win, here are some more thoughts.

1. NOVAK DJOKOVIC IS THE GOAT
The debate is over.


He’s reached 23, he’s won at least three titles at each of the four Grand Slams, he’s made each Slam final at least seven times and he’s got a winning head-to-head over each of his rivals in Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer.

If you take away all their best results — Djokovic’s 10 Australians, Nadal’ 14 French Opens and Federer’s 8 Wimbledon, the race still would have Djokovic on top:
Djokovic 13
Federer 12
Nadal 8

What’s scary is, there’s room for more, a lot more!

About the only thing missing from Djokovic’s resume is Olympic gold which he can go after next in Paris.

2. 16-9-1
Ha ha. Remember those days? When Federer was at 16 Slams, Nadal 9 and Djokovic 1 at the end of 2010? Djokovic was 15 behind Roger at one point! Now he’s three ahead.

Insane.

3. THE CHALLENGERS
Djokovic’s main rivals are all out of the way.

Roger Federer is retired, Rafael Nadal is close to finished, Andy Murray is no longer a contender for Grand Slams and Stan Wawrinka is hanging on.

So in the near term, who’s left to really bother Djokovic?

Daniil Medvedev is a worthy foe, but maybe not as dangerous on grass.

Carlos Alcaraz has been a supernova, but when facing a great like Djokovic for a first time in a Grand Slam, he locked up (literally).

After that?

Stefanos Tsitsipas is moving on from tennis to live a life of love and romance with Paula Badosa. Andrey Rublev is stuck in an endless loop of hitting forehands 15-feet long during Grand Slam quarterfinals. Casper Ruud needs to actually get rude. Jannik Sinner has all the tools but when will it all “click”, if at all?

Americans Taylor Fritz and Frances Tiafoe might not be mentally strong enough (yet) to win on a big stage.

Bad boys Nick Kyrgios and Holger Rune are both viable threats. Though, one doesn’t work hard enough while the other works too hard!

So there are a few, but not many. Medvedev at the US Open or Australia, and I think Alcaraz will be fine. Rune is a wildcard and Kyrgios can always surprise.

And I do think in 6-12 months, this younger generation will be even a bigger threat. So best for Djokovic clean up now while he can.

4. MENTALITY MATTERS
What we saw this weekend was that mental strength still remains the greatest asset in tennis.

Everyone has all the shots, but do you have it when it matters the most. Iga Swiatek has it. She’s proved it and did so Saturday in that incredible final, turning things around, not panicking.

Djokovic proved it yet again. He no longer has a Top 3 serve, forehand or is among the quickest, but he showed against Alcaraz that mentally he’s on a higher level.

These guys like Alcaraz and Ruud are 12-16 years younger than him. They move quicker, hit it harder, serve bigger but Djokovic finds a way at the crucial moments and doesn’t blink. Like Goran said, Djokovic takes their life.

5. DAMAGED GOODS
And in totality, the Big 3 have had a long, brutal history of crushing the Grand Slam hopes of dreams of generations of players:

Dimitrov, Thiem, Coric, Carreno Busta, Roanic — all damaged
Rublev, Zverev, Berretini, Medvedev, Khachanov, Paul — all damaged (well, maybe not Medvedev)
Ruud, Fritz, Tiafoe, Auger-Aliassime, Shapovalov, Tsitsipas — all damaged
Alcaraz, Rune, Sinner, Korda, Brooksby, Shelton, Musetti — let’s see

The Alcaraz group might and should escape the Big 3 mental block, but guys in the older groups with the exception of Medvedev offer little hope of upsetting a Djokovic or Nadal in a Slam. They’ve been there, tried that and repeatedly failed.

But if Djokovic keeps going, he’s going to damage that younger Alcaraz group as well, leaving them with scar tissue for life and what we’ll see is like that 2020 US Open final! Lol.

6. SWIATEK CLUTCH
Now 4-for-4 in Slam finals, Iga’s poise and confidence reminds me of Federer. The Swiss rarely panicked or even showed panic. I see that to a degree with Swiatek. Even though things are not going her way, there’s a calmness that she’ll turn it around.

Just 22, she’s a year young than Elena Rybakina — who also exhibits that same trait, but doesn’t have the overall game and footspeed — and three years junior to Aryna Sabalenka who is on the opposite emotional spectrum to Swiatek and Rybakina.

Swiatek’s a former junior champion at Wimbledon so I think she can do well there. Her issue will be power but on the other surfaces it’s hard to make her an underdog against anyone, and I don’t see any new threats to her reign other than Sabalenka and Rybakina.

Ons Jabeur and Caroline Garcia may have both peaked. Jessica Pegula seems to also have hit a ceiling. Coco Gauff is a viable threat but that forehand is so shaky.

There are also some young Czech girls plus Mirra Andreeva and a few others, but no one jumps out.

7. MORE THE HISTORY AHEAD
As I wrote at the start, it seems every Grand Slam there’s record books being rewritten.

At Wimbledon we could see Djokovic surpass Serena and tie Court, and also set the all-time mark for Slam finals.

At the US Open we could see the Calendar Slam in play or if he doesn’t win Wimbledon then it’s back to getting 24.

And on and on and on and on….


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6 Comments for 7 Things I Think I Thought About Novak Djokovic, The GOAT Race And The French Open

chrisford1 Says:

1. Sportswriters should be the 1st people to avoid direct comparisons between top athletes on the men and woman’s side of sports. Supporting the implication that Djokovic’s records were no harder to get than Serena’s. Novak graciously acknowledged Serena’s record in also getting to different 23s, but like Tiger Woods having 82 wins vs. Anneka Sorrenstram’s 88 wins, he did it in a far more competitive sport.

2. I always felt in tennis, soccer, US football, basketball – besides the woman issue, the different eras are different metrics of judging performance, different pay, difficulties in travel, equipment. Longevity should not play so much into “amazing records!!” analysis as they do. Laver and Court and Emerson were not rubbish! If you look at Rafa, his career would have ended on knee issues back when he was 24 but for the advances in medical tech and conditioning. He still missed 10 Slams in his career from injury and chronic knee and back issues..
Djokovic is also personally going with the “hard to compare between eras, men&women, as any GOAT”, camp of thought.

3. But when you go past Slam-Count, and compare other accomplishments, weeks at #1, most Top Event trophies, most Masters, etc., Djokovic leads his fellow legends by a margin in most “championship” measures.

4. Sports writers will be incredibly lame if they cast Djokovic and Wimbledon as being in the shadow of woman athletes he is trying to “prove himself the equal of”.

5. Speaking of woman’s athletes, I do worry that Iga Swiatek may be a little too much in the “tennis is everything!!!!” bubble and not progressing socially or in matters of love. Saying at 21 she is stressed after her 2nd French win “not really having any experience personally with makeup” in the prep for the glam shots, was awkward!!
Steffi Graf, another fine champion discussed how miserable she became with all aspects of her life controlled by others in her family, her “only focus on the win!” Team Graf…even as she won Slam after Slam. Sabine Lisicki, Bartoli, Caro Wozniacki – same Daddy knows best issues.


chrisford1 Says:

Poignant comparison. Djokovic gets the deserved King treatment in Paris , while poor Andy Murray wins his first trophy in years at Surbiton, 20 minutes away from his home and two minutes after his family arrives to see Andy finally get a trophy – and his family gets sent home in a thunderstorm.


chrisford1 Says:

Andy’s 4 kids are between 2 and 8 and none has seen Daddy win a trophy, live. Awwwwwwww!


Wog Boy Says:

“Sportswriters should be the 1st people to avoid direct comparisons between top athletes on the men and woman’s side of sports. ”

You are right CF1, I don’t remember them doing the same when the other two were breaking the records?


SG1 Says:

Hey Sean…another great analysis. It is truly mind blowing to think that Novak has won 13 slams away from Australia.

I’m a big Rafa fan but his missing 10 slams is result of how he plays so those missed slams are the proverbial cost of how Rafa does his business.

No question in my mind…Novak stands alone. When I first saw him play in 2007, I thought he was going to be very good but I couldn’t ever have imagined that this guy would surpass Federer (or even Sampras). Yet, here we are 16 years later and he has topped all his rivals in every relevant category.

The problem for Novak has never been his tennis. He just doesn’t garner the respect and love that Rafa and Roger do. That will never change. His behavior hasn’t always been spot on and does things that make him less likeable e.g. yelling at his box, breaking rackets, hitting lines people with stray tennis balls etc. The other two don’t have a record of doing that.

But, Novak can easily console himself. Even if he has less endorsement money than Rafa and Roger, he still has plenty. And he’s the GOAT. No one can take that from him. I suspect that when tennis historians look back at this period, Novak will get a lot more love than he is now.

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