Wimbledon Men’s Draw: Nadal Could Be Tested Early; Federer, Murray, Djokovic Not So Much
by Sean Randall | June 20th, 2014, 7:46 am
  • 108 Comments

The Wimbledon men’s draw just came out, and aside from maybe some early anxiety for Rafael Nadal, things are uncommonly quite balanced.

Top seed Novak Djokovic will have Golubev, then perhaps Radek Stepanek, Vasek Pospisil before JW Tsonga in the fourth and then Tomas Berdych in the quarters. The big question mark is now Novak’s wrist. If it’s no issue I think he’ll be fine. Tsonga can be tricky on grass but the Frenchman hasn’t been playing well. Berdych, who I think has a good draw, is certainly a threat, too, and has beaten Djokovic before. At the moment, I have to assume the wrist is OK and Novak will get out the semifinals.

Andy Murray begins his Wimbledon title defense against David Goffin. The young Belgian made a splash a few years ago in Paris but we’ve heard little from him since. Overall, I like Murray’s draw with really only Kevin Anderson a potential early worry until Grigor Dimitrov or David Ferrer in the quarters. Dimitrov’s been playing well while Ferrer’s struggling with a stomach bug, so should the two collide in the fourth I’d give a very slight edge to the youngster.

In the bottom half we find both Roger Federer and Nadal. The 7-time champion Federer has to be happy with how his draw unfolded. He’ll have a Lorenzi to start, then possibly Julien Benneteau (the Frenchman nearly beat him at Wimbledon in 2012) in the second before a seeded path of Granollers and Janowicz, both longshots to even make it out that far. In his quarter Roger I’d take Feliciano Lopez to be the guy. John Isner and Stan Wawrinka are also potential quarterfinal opponents for Federer but I’ll go with the Spaniard who just made the Queen’s final and is in better form than John or Stan who’s fighting an illness.

As I said, Nadal is the only guy with some worry. That’s because in the second round he could get a rematch with Lukas Rosol, then Ivo Karlovic, then former Wimbledon semifinalist Richard Gasquet followed by Milos Raonic in the quarters. That’s a tough road on grass but let’s see who’ll actually make it out to meet Rafa.

So that’s our Wimbledon draw. Overall it’s pretty balanced.

As for an early pick, I really have no idea right now. With Novak’s wrist I’d and with how the draw came out I’d almost rate Murray as my favorite then Federer! Murray only concern in Dimitrov and in best-of-5 on grass at Wimbledon Murray should get through that.

Federer does have Benneteau but the Frenchman has fallen off of late. Maybe Hewitt can catch a spark in that section or Janowicz can somehow rekindle the magic of a year ago, otherwise Roger will come through.

For Nadal, if the worst case does happen – Rosol, Karlovic, Gasquet, Raonic – then someone will get him. It’s just hard to say who. And remember, Rafa’s lost his last 3 matches on grass!

Welcome to a wide open Wimbledon!


Also Check Out:
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US Open Men’s Draw: Nadal v Federer Quarter; Murray Looking Good In First Slam Defense
Australian Open Men’s Draw: Djokovic Gets Murray, Federer Falls With Nadal In SFs
Veterans, Hopefuls Feature in 2009 Australian Open Men’s Qualifying
Cincinnati Men’s Draw: Federer Returns Seeking A Sixth Title, Gets Nadal In His Quarter

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108 Comments for Wimbledon Men’s Draw: Nadal Could Be Tested Early; Federer, Murray, Djokovic Not So Much

Tennis Fan Says:

Actually I was just going to say that the draw looks fixed. Picking Murray ahead of Federer and Wawrinka wasn’t a classy thing to do to start with IMO.


Steve27 Says:

Gasquet? Lol, And I doubt Raonic will be a threat on grass with his por movement. besides, if Rafa gets that far, be a sympton that is playing well on grass. The fisrt 3 rounds? Agree, Klizan, Rosol and Karlovic will be a nightmare in the first week, this 3 matches are possibly more difficult for him than Gasquet, Raonic and Federer, who by the way, get another kind draw for him, especially if Rafa is eliminated early.
Andy Djokovic in sf is the projected sf in the other part of the draw. If Andy is ok he has to be the favorite in that match. Anyway, for me the champion will be Andy or Djokovic even if the swiss get that far. Benneteau and Janowicz could be more tricky than Wawrinka who is a mug in this surface.
Let see if Dimitrov can surprise everyone and get a chance to make a gret performance.
3 years ago, I have no doubt that Rafa reached the final, now, hopefully he can win the first match and then continue to survive in the first week of SW 19.
Anyway, Vamos Rafa!


calmdownplease Says:

How many times does this have to be explained?
Murray was not picked ahead of anybody.
Wimbledon has its own seeding formula for men that takes into account grass court performance of the past 2 years.
And its been like that for 13 years.


calmdownplease Says:

Having said all that, Andy’s draw is really very easy lol
Still! it’s about the 3rd time ever that he has gotten an easy draw in any slam.


Ash Says:

Tennis Fan

And after that they gave him the easiest possible draw.What a disgrace.


calmdownplease Says:

@What a disgrace

I know its a conspiracy, like Feds draws are often reportedly said to be by Nadal fans.


judee Says:

@steve27 I agree with you expect for raonic with his serv he can go far


Goatexpert Says:

“Wide open” is correct for this Wimbledon. There are no favorites.

Go Klizan!


Ash Says:

So we could see a Murray Rafa final with Murray bending over like there is no Beckham.


Steve27 Says:

Go Klizan!

This is the only hope for goatexpert!
Anyway he is not winning this time. No rain, no roof, no title, no more

Go Benneteau! lol!


roy Says:

this is hands down the most boring 1st round i’ve ever seen in a slam. it’s hard to find even one interesting match on paper.

and federer clearly has the easiest draw of the top four if you look at who’s in form and who is proven on grass.
probably djoker, nadal, murray, fed as far as draw difficulty goes, though nadal has a tougher start than djoker.


FedExpress Says:

Federer injured his two fingers of his right hand by playing with his daughters.stabbed himself with a stick. he wears a bandage. hopefully nothing serious.


Steve27 Says:

Wimbledon loves the swiss so much that he gets a better draw than seeded 1 and 2.
Rigged

And Rafa Rosol in 2 round. Coincidence? Nah, TV ratings wants morbid and BUM! You want it, you take it. Is a business after all.


calmdownplease Says:

`TV ratings wants morbid and BUM!

Whats a morbid & bum?!

Sounds nasty


jane Says:

nole’s draw reminds me a lot of the french, with tsonga in the R16, cilic/gulbis in QFs, although he has andy in the semis this time. i’m not sure he’ll get that far, with no preparation on grass, a potential wrist issue, and an impending wedding. we’ll see. good luck to all, and have fun watching. i think there could be some upsets this time. looking forward to some interesting ladies matches too.


Steve27 Says:

Lol, I mean BANG!


calmdownplease Says:

well whats a morbid and bang then?
Or is it `bang and bum` which sounds very rude if you ask me.


Ash Says:

Murray is favourite to reach QF. Murray have cake draw till QF but QF will be really tough since doesn’t have victories top players this year. But I’ll never underestimate his luck, may be Novak will fall before SF and FEDAL gets knock outed early as last year. Then Murray will beat Gasquet in another accelerating, jaw dropping final as 2013 to fluke another Wimbledon.

But seriously I want Nole to beat Murray this year, as he simply donated 2 slams to this guy, No donations to pushers please!


Giles Says:

Goatexpert says “Go Klizan”. Lol. Oh yes, he’s going right out of Wimby!
Vamos Rafa!
Stay Healthy!


Kimberly Says:

Sharapova gets Serena in the quarters again!


Giles Says:

http://2014.wimbledon.com/en_GB/news/photos/2014-06-20/nadal2_2006_TL.html
Rafa fist pumping already! I think he likes his draw! Lol
Vamos Champ!


the DA Says:

@Ash

Nole and Andy have met twice on grass. Nole hasn’t won a single set. Does ‘lucky’ strike twice? hehe

As for fixed draws – *yawn* Do your homework. Andy had a very difficult draw in 2012 and in 2013. If they wanted to help him out last year why was he placed with Federer and Nadal? Think for god’s sake. Sheer stupidity. These nuts crawl out of the woodwork at every slam with their nonsense.


calmdownplease Says:

@ash
And who should he have difficulty with in the quarters, pray tell?
Oh that’s right Dimitrov (if he gets there).
The future little Fed for old glory hunting Fed fans to fawn over.
Once Novak has been deemed no longer of use that is.

DA is this also one of the dudes that you recognise from before?


Steve27 Says:

Bang: A sudden loud noise, as of an explosion, as the discharge of a gun

If you watched Cowboy Bebop, final episode when the main protagonist, Spike Spiegel dies, you know what I mean.


Steve27 Says:

Djoker is no a threat to Murray on grass and this is not a Joke


calmdownplease Says:

@you know what I mean

lol clearly I didn’t


calmdownplease Says:

MORE BANG (for its buck!)it is then.

Manga, cool.

Anyway The reason Novak is no threat to Murray is because he likes to donate slams to him.
Otherwise he would be toast.


Steve27 Says:

Yeah, Djokovic is Mother Theresa of Tennis, he deprived himself for his friends sake.


tweener Says:

geez..poor little guys, benetteau & rosol :(

the giants they tormented couple of years back, are all set to turn back the clock and the tables. LOL!

Straight sets with an odd bagel included, perhaps ;)

These 2 are the best ever 2nd round matches, IMO. I’m gonna grab a comfy seat and dig into a tub of popcorn, to relish these thrashings.


judee Says:

@steve27 why do you underestimating novak on the grass like he can’t play on it if he is healthy he has a very good chance to beat Murray more than rafa has


Steve27 Says:

Hahah, is 2 0 and ZERO sets to Andy. Besides, I want more weeks a number 1 for Rafa, so I will cheer for Andy to win his second Wimbledon.
Come on!


the DA Says:

@calmdownplease – No. Not this person. But they’re a dime a dozen ;) The other one I’m 99% positive. Has the same syntax and same inclination to insult posters about their tennis knowledge (or lack thereof).


judee Says:

@steve27 that doesn’t mean he is going to loos every time against Murray


calmdownplease Says:

@You shouldn’t right off Rafa steve27,
I am also of the view that if he makes it to the 2nd week he will be the one to beat.
Until proven otherwise that is.
I dont agree that Wimbledon becomes a clay court however, but the conditions will start to tilt a bit in his favour.
We’ll see how it unfolds.


calmdownplease Says:

`No. Not this person. But they’re a dime a dozen ;)

@DA
Yes indeed, together they’re like the constituent parts of one enormous bellend presented for all to see.
Oh well, we can’t pretend the world is some kind of perfect place can we?
Sigh.


jonathan Says:

As I predicted, Fed in Rafa’s half 5th time in a row in non-clay majors. (Avoided Nadal’s half last four French).

A 1 in 4096 so-called “random” chance.

Also, potentially Klizan-Rosol-Karlovic-Raonic all in his path prior to a Fed meeting?

Couldn’t be more obvious.

Wimbly is hoping one of four hard hitters can Rosol Rafa aiming for a Muzza-Fed final.


jonathan Says:

My bad, “only” 1 in 512.

Obviously not fixed after all!!!


Steve27 Says:

Unfortunately, Rafa is following the path of Pete Sampras at Roland Garros after 1996, only he is doing that in Wimbledon. Is embarassing watching him the last couple of years on grass, I dont expect much of him, especially with poor practice. He should returns to Quenns next year and forget about the taxes and play there. Next year will be one more week after Roland Garros, so he will have one week to rest, and then to practice in Queen where the conditions are familiar with Wimbledon. The reality is the low bouncing is too much for him at this stage of his career and I doubt if he can produce his grass court level again.


Giles Says:

Brando said he would be back for Wimby. Where are you Brando? Please come back!


Steve27 Says:

Exactly Jonathan, the friendship of Federer with the Comitee is so OBVOIUS that he get another cake draw for him. Anyhow, Andy will trash him like in the Olympics.


Steve27 Says:

Obvious, I mean


calmdownplease Says:

A well thought out post that is hard to disagree with.
Rafa’s recent record is lamentable at this slam but then no one should take the possibility of channel for granted.
Its probably the hardest thing that there is in tennis.
Rafa in his younger days pulled it off twice however and that can never be taken away from him.
But yeah its a big ask to expect it at this stage or even next year with the extra week, as its another year on those knees too.
But all things considered its still a better prospect.
But with Rafa when he puts his mind to something..


calmdownplease Says:

*A Channel SLAM.
Jeez Louise.


madmax Says:

Steve27 Says:
Exactly Jonathan, the friendship of Federer with the Comitee is so OBVOIUS that he get another cake draw for him. Anyhow, Andy will trash him like in the Olympics.

June 20th, 2014 at 11:42 am

Steve,

You have obviously not read the news! Federer has stepped down as ATP president.

http://www.tennisearth.com/news/tennisNews/Roger-Federer-to-step-down-as-ATP-Player-Council-President-607869.htm


madmax Says:

Nadal had a v soft draw at RG, and I think he has a more difficult draw this time around. I don’t think that Rosol will be a threat at all now. It was a different Rosol then, what has he done lately?

Just one of those magical, crazy, lights out tennis moments, that a player gets once in a life time. No way will he repeat that. Rafa is too good and won’t take his chances anything less than serious.

Of course Wimbledon loves Murray. It’s obvious, like Madrid loves Nadal, Like Basel loves Roger. I don’t believe it is fixed at all.

Is there a youtube link somewhere of the draw?


calmdownplease Says:

I believe that certain narratives are arranged for the benefit of TV audiences. It’s obvious that they are.
One of the most telling was the rematch of Isner and mahut after their year long match the year before.
I’m not convinced its personal beyond that however, its the ratings and business.


jonathan Says:

Well said CDP. Business as usual. Naive to believe otherwise.


Margot Says:

Seeding “fixed.”
Draw *fixed.*
Yawn. Change the record old bean, do.
Let’s Go Andy! Let’s Go!


Eric Says:

If you think Roger’s draw is so “easy” that it must have been fixed, you’re stupid — he is (a) in his kryptonite’s half, i.e., with Rafa, and (b) faces actually pretty decent early-round potential opponents in Benneteau, Muller, Mahut (hey, anyone remember Isner-Mahut?), Robredo (made it to 3rd round last year), Lacko, Hewitt, and, oh yeah, Janowicz, last year’s sensation — those names might not all be marquee names, but if you know anything about the brief grass season (which it’s painfully obvious, you mostly do not), you’ll recognize why some of them are quite dangerous.

Anyway, Andy’s draw is pretty easy, but the others are quite balanced. Rafa’s, certainly, no rougher than Fed’s — Djokovic’s, maybe, if Haase or Pospisil really steps it up. And Steps is a truly dangerous opponent to face as early as the second round. But not really so much worse than Rosol/Paire or Muller/Benneteau.

And as for Raonic being a dangerous Nadal opponent– I’ll say it again, most of the draw at Wimbledon has done better at this tournament than has Milos. Raonic has had three whole years of steady improvement, accumulating experience, and modest success on hard court surfaces, without ever going past the second round at Wimbledon. Per the statistics on Wikipedia, Raonic has won 47.4% of his matches on grass — vs. 70% on hard courts. (and 60% on clay). People, just having a good serve is not all you need to be good on grass.


SG1 Says:

I don’t know whether or not Rafa wants to play Rosol or not but given his highly competitive nature, I would think he’d want some payback for last year. I don’t think that getting Rosol is ncessarily bad thing (if he wins of course). It could give him the confidence to go deep in the tournament which he’ll need because as Sean said, his draw could potentially be really really tough.


SG1 Says:

Eric has a good point regarding Raonic on grass. Different era but I remember Becker saying that when he won Wimbledon, it was because he was returning well. It was a given he would hold serve at a high %. Raonic’s return, while definitely getting better, probably isn’t quite good enough yet. And there is the movement issue as well. But that’s also improving. I do believe that sooner or later, Milos will make some deep runs at Wimbledon. A hot fortnight serving can take a player a long way.


Eric Says:

(I’m not saying Raonic can’t, or won’t, do well at Wimbledon, now or ever. But there is a certain pattern here — even if, as I seem to recall, MR was ill or something at least one of those years. But it’s like anything else: until you’ve done it, how can you be considered a “favorite”? Even a “dark horse” to make it to the second week seems like a stretch for someone who has, again, never made it past the second round — has a losing record on the surface at other events with less challenging opposition.)


jonathan Says:

Oh no I’m plenty familiar with all things tennis including the turf so no worries there mate.

And no need with the personal insults. They’re so…. cheap. The device used by the unskilled debater I’m afraid. I take them as a compliment in such discussions. Sign of weakness if you will.

Jerzy’s head since last years’ result has gone walkabout. Mahut? Long gone before a fed matchup and Isner is no Federer! If Fed can’t get by the others you’ve mentioned on best-of-five grass, he has no business being there.

As far as Fed’s “kryptonite” is concerned, I believe I’ve already explained that one.

Any one hard hitter including Raonic, you are correct. However, it is the barrage of four potentially in his quarter that are all threats on any given day. It just takes one. Especially in the first week.


Eric Says:

Considering that back in his days of dominance, Rafa normally almost lost at least once in the first week at Wimbledon every year, I’m not too concerned, although it might be a sign that his knees are permanently down from 100% if he has now gone from “almost losing” on the regular to actually losing.

(And my comment wasn’t directed at anyone in particular, so need to feel complemented.)

Let me ask you, though, since you bring it up: what exactly was JJ’s head like before last year’s Wimbledon? Did you look at his results over the preceding twelvemonth and think, ah, here is our Wimbledon semifinalist? I’m guessing– no, you did not. Wimbledon first weeks are a wild and unpredictable ride, but we can at least be guided by past results instead of uninformed judgments passed around so much they have become unquestioned dogma, such as “Raonic is basically a Wimbledon champion already, a star ready to shine.” Well, shine, then.

“If Fed can’t get by the others you’ve mentioned on best-of-five grass, he has no business being there.” You can say exactly the same for Novak, Andy, and Rafa, so, what exactly is your point? This is one of those nice pieces of rhetrickey: Top Player X’s draw, well, it might LOOK rough, but hey, if they lose, it just means they had no business winning! … But now as for MY favorite, Top Player Y, well, THEIR draw is actually hard! Must be fixed against ‘em!


Eric Says:

(Or complimented, for that matter. Afraid I’ve been busy teaching grammar, complements are on the mind.)


jane Says:

i agree with eric about raonic on grass too. he is overestimated on the surface. he can move better on clay and has more time to set up shots like his forehand. he lives and practices at monte carlo, where there are excellent clay courts. grass is fast for him.


TennisVagabond.com Says:

All this talk of “this stage of Rafa’s career” makes me laugh.
Is that the stage where he’s #1 in the world, holding 2 slams and making the last 3 slam finals?

We should all age so badly!

None of the earl round opposition is threatening, but Novak drawing Tsonga and Berdych is about as bad as it could be in those rounds. They are proven to be the most threatening outside the big four on grass, and Novak gets both. Of course, if Gulbis takes out Berdych, he’ll be a danger as well.

Anyone find any exciting 1st week match-ups?


TennisVagabond.com Says:

Yes, Raonic has had no success on grass, its true.

But, his movement and return are improved over last year, so this is a very new proposition.

Why don’t you just let us hope, instead of trying to squelch it with jackboots?


Eric Says:

Hope all you like. I was excited for Raonic’s Wimbledon success once up a time too. And maybe this is his year. All I’m saying is that there are many players who have been proven threats on grass in the past 3 seasons, and Raonic is not among them.


jane Says:

tennisvagabond, just curious: what is your hope for raonic at wimbledon this year? i mean you don’t expect him to beat rafa do you?


TennisVagabond.com Says:

I DO!
But you gotta start believing now!

Bandwagon jumpers not accepted.


TennisVagabond.com Says:

I DO!
But you gotta start believing now!

Bandwagon jumpers not accepted.


jonathan Says:

Eric Says:
Rafa normally almost lost at least once in the first week at Wimbledon every year,

At least once? I must confess that I wasn’t aware that it was possible to lose more than once but I’m obviously not as well versed in the intricacies of tennis.

Besides, no, actually he made five consecutive finals at Wimbledon in five attempts so he didn’t typically lose “at least” once.


TennisVagabond.com Says:

Perhaps more realistically, I expect Wawrinka to make the quarters and give a real fight to Federer. He didn’t improve steadily all through 2013 to go to pieces after winning a slam. I think he’ll be supplanting Berdych and Ferrer as the permanent fixture behind the Big Four, with the difference that he has a big trophy on his shelf.


jonathan Says:

“almost lost”

Nevermind, maybe I am stupid after all, lol.


El matador Says:

I just hope that rafa gets past 1st week this time..if rafa is there in the 2nd week,roger better go out before the semi for your own sake:)
and i’m confident that murray will beat novak in the semi and then surrender to his boss in the final:)


Eric Says:

…actually, now that I am looking at Raonic’s part of the draw, perhaps this IS his year to do pretty well. I’ve got him losing to Kohls in the fourth round now, but who knows.


Eric Says:

I submitted a completely insane bracket. Hope everything goes crazy! (Of course, I still have Roger winning it all, because reality is hard to face.)


jane Says:

peter bodo’s comments/semis predictions here, if anyone is interested:

http://espn.go.com/blog/peter-bodo/post/_/id/725/tough-wimbledon-draws-for-big-names


jane Says:

steve tignor expects the traditional ‘big 4′ to make the semis

http://www.tennis.com/pro-game/2014/06/wimble-void/51811/#.U6SYcTlkIVQ


calmdownplease Says:

Bodo reads senile compared to tignor
Although I doubt all of the `traditional 4` will make it myself.


calmdownplease Says:

I mean does Bodo not know that Ferrer has been ill for quite some time?
Even I knew this.


jane Says:

yes, and i think there was something wrong with wawrinka, too, but he picks him to beat federer.


calmdownplease Says:

The women are worse!
He forgets about Sharapova who I think just won something rather big, non? And has Azarenka in the semi finals right after coming back from injury.
I mean womens tennis is not too hot right now but its not that bad.
MR BODO STEP AWAY FROM THE CRACK PIPE PLEASE
What an embarrassing old fool haha


jane Says:

sharapova has serena in her section though; i can forgive him for thinking she won’t go deep.


the DA Says:

Bodo isn’t the only one making bold choices. Wertheim picks Dimitrov to make it through the Nolandy half to meet Federer in the final! Oh how I chuckled. Who knows? After black Wednesday in 2013 I guess anything could happen. I’m just not convinced that Grigor is ready to win 6 best of 5 matches yet.


jane Says:

i am not convinced either, especially considering that lopez had match point and almost beat dimitrov in straight sets for the title at queens.


calmdownplease Says:

@Yeah but not even mentioning the 5th seed?
I’m guessing he forgot.


the DA Says:

@jane – Yep. And he also succumbed in straight sets to Karlovic in the 1st round of RG. His single-handed BH is vulnerable especially against big servers.


calmdownplease Says:

`I’m just not convinced that Grigor is ready to win 6 best of 5 matches yet..`

Oh but he won Queens!
A surefire launchpad to greatness for Fed/babyfeds.
According to the experts here anyway.
Bodo is the Fed fan of these 2 geezers isn’t he?
As for Tignor & Rafa making it to the final for his 3rd CS,
It’s hard to bet against Nadal, but this time is just don’t see it.


calmdownplease Says:

exactly one SHBH’der beats another in a 250.
I’m sorry but whoever taught Dimitrov that a SHBH was an asset in Todays game should be stuffed full of tennis balls.
What a disaster, & although he is young he is also the last of the mohicans as far as I’m concerned and where this great sport is going.


judee Says:

@jane thank you very much for those links


judee Says:

actually I’m very surprised by tignor predicting nadal winning the title I wish he is right but I think its very difficult to happen


TennisFan Says:

If you hand picked the players you couldnt come up with an easier draw for Murray … this is obviously fixed. In spite of that I dont tink Muarry will even make it out of this powder puff quarter. Wawrinka who is a threat to any of the top four (except Federer) is placed to meet Federer … what a joke. Raonic who is a potential dark horse has a relatively tough road matched fairly early on against Nishikori who has show dramatic improvement in his play in the last few months. I think if Raonic gets past NK he could take down Raffa … if he is still playing at that point. … but not any easy path for Raonic.


Dan Martin Says:

I’ve got my semifinal picks up at http://tennisabides.com – Rafa having A. reached 5 Wimbledon finals and owning 2 titles and having B. lost his last 3 matches on grass makes him hard to predict


Voicemale1 Says:

Nadal’s interview with El Pais – in English – from 10 days ago:

http://elpais.com/elpais/2014/06/10/inenglish/1402395926_047759.html


Kimberly Says:

come on all pick a bracket, the way I see it this is the most wide open Wimbledon

Djokovic, probably the favorite but the wrist, the French open loss, the lack of practice and the upcoming nuptials cast some question.

Murray, defending champion but back surgery, brutal semifinal loss, early exit from queens, no lendl, make him questionable. Probably the second favorite though.

Nadal-horrendous early exit from Halle, three match losing streak make him a shady bet. But he does have two titles and should have a little confidence from three great wins over top tenners at Roland Garros. Would not be surpised if he lost first round. Also would not be surprised if he took home the trophy.

Federer–his record speaks for itself but who knows. If nadal loses and he gets an easy match maybe he can win the title. His problem at his age would be consecutive difficult matches IMO. He certainly has the skill and game to win still.

Berdych/Wawrinka/Gulbis/Dimitrov—Probably the second tier with Berdych the strongest IMO.

Anyone else’s thoughts?


Dc Says:

Based on the quality of tennis being played by the big 4 and the other top players , it’s difficult to predict a winner or even a probable winner . Any one of the big4 could get knocked out in the quarters or semis, Some key points to note are
- none of the big 4 are playing awesome tennis
- Feds motivation levels are high again , something which seemed to be low last year and earlier . He has probably now realized that this may be his last chance due to his age and Nadal is getting closer to his GS record.
-easier draw for Fed
- Nole and murray could possibly exhaust each other in the Semis
- Fed has improved his serve and volley and will get a good chance to practice it during the first few matches
- Nole , Nadal and Murray have all turned 27+. Fed at this age, in 2008, had shown a drop in consistency. Most other past champions have also shown a decline in consistently post 27 years of age.This makes it easier for someone other then these three to win.

Expecting no 18 – fed has the strongest case , at least on paper


Okiegal Says:

@Kimberly

Surely Stan will step it up and do something here. As goatexpert stated above…..Wimby is wide open this year…..I will have to agree. Lots of variables to consider……backs, wrists, viruses….expectant fathers with morning sickness….lol…..just kidding about that. I think it’s looking interesting and unpredictable. Can’t even begin to make an estimated guess on the winner….men or women!


Michael Says:

Novak has the toughest draw followed by Rafa. Andy who is joggling for another recourse at Wimbledon has a relatively easy one and Roger ofcourse who is eyeing his 8th has gotten lucky just on the look of his draw. Ofcourse Lopez is going to turn out quite tricky for Roger if both reach that stage. Like Sean, I have to worry about Novak’s troubling wrist and that is a real pity considering that Wimbledon holds the key for Novak to finish 2014 in a grand fashion. Having made six slam finals not winning any of them, he has also got to disprove the allegations of being a choker emanating from certain quarters. As regards Rafa, Rosol in the 2nd round would be quite interesting considering that in 2012, he eliminated Nadal in the same second round. Ofcourse Rafa would dislike the word revenge, but he must be mighty eager to pay back in kind this time around. All in all, it appears at the moment that Andy holds the edge particularly on the back of Novak’s troubling wrist.


Michael Says:

My gut sense tells me that this Wimbledon could spring a nasty surprise by producing a winner other than the top Four and that would be a welcome development if it happens.


madmax Says:

Well, Nadal very much thinks (and so he should) that he can take on the defending champion at Wimbledon.

I just don’t buy into these injuries anymore. So much stuff out there about his knees, back, etc. and then he still keeps on winning tournaments. There should be no more talk of Nadal not being in top form before he goes into Wimby.

http://www.standard.co.uk/lifestyle/esmagazine/rafael-nadal-when-the-ball-comes-into-my-forehand-i-am-better-than-andy-murray-9548865.html

Not only that, how can anyone not seriously consider Wawinka? Remember the semi final match 3 or 4 years ago against Murray? 5 setter?

Remember Stan has won a slam since then so I can’t imagine he will not be pumped full of confidence.

Grass is a different beast as someone earlier said, but Stan’s game can more than match most. I would not say he is a dead cert to lose against Roger either should he face him in the QFs. Stan has the game, it’s just what goes on in the head!


Giles Says:

@madmax. Thanx for the link.


madmax Says:

Michael,

I don’t think anything is a dead cert this year. However, you have to base things on facts I guess, and Fed has the most grass court titles, that’s 14 and has the best stats success in the open era on grass.

Everyone saying this is his last chance, tho been saying that for quite awhile. It wouldn’t surprise me.

No one has said a lot about Dolgo recently, has he gone off the boil? He was the next best thing last year and should not be counted out.


Hamza Says:

It would’ve been a lot more fun if Delpo were in the mix. Damn that wrist of his !


madmax Says:

Some nice comments from Fed about Andy

http://www.espn.co.uk/tennis/sport/story/317709.html

Murray is first up on Centre Court on Monday as he opens his Wimbledon defence against world No.104 David Goffin, but Federer is predicting he won’t struggle with the pressure having ended Britain’s 77-year wait for a male singles champion last summer.

“Defending champion is never an easy thing,” said Federer, who starts his tournament against Paolo Lorenzi on Tuesday. “But then again, he played so well on grass the last few years.

“He was winning the Olympics, winning Wimbledon, winning Queen’s last year. So he knows how it’s done, and I would feel comfortable if I was Andy at this point.

“I think he’s fought back nicely, bravely [from back surgery]. I think he is where he wants to be before Wimbledon, in my opinion.

“Clearly in a perfect world you don’t want to have surgery, looking back one year ago.

“I still think he’s good enough now to defend again; whereas maybe three to four to five months ago, honestly I wasn’t sure about that.

“But now I think the way he’s playing, the way he’s got himself back into shape again, I think he can really believe again. That’s what’s most important now.”


madmax Says:

Giles Says:
@madmax. Thanx for the link.

June 21st, 2014 at 4:02 am

Giles,

I actually thught it was a reasonably good write up, honest and direct and actually quite interesting for a change!


peep Says:

are espn tennis picks up yet? so far henman picking nole. it’s wide open in my view.may be a last one for Fed.


Okiegal Says:

@Madmax 2:29

Thanks for the link…..Good read……I enjoyed it!


jamie Says:

Poor Murray being jinxed by Sean Randall.


Patson Says:

I’m guessing we’ll be seeing plenty of Josh Berry impersonations during Wimbledon ?


Patson Says:

@Margot: On a side note, if – and this is just pure speculation – Scotland gains independence in September, does this mean Britain would not have had a grandslam champion since Fred Perry ? This question must be resolved before the referendum.


calmdownplease Says:

There will be no `Britain` if the Scots vote for independence.
This concept was established by the union of the Scottish and English crowns in 1603 which was further solidified by the union of the two parliaments in Act of Union (1707).
Under King James things such as the `Union Jack (1606)were established.
Britishness originally comes from these two acts.
But there will still be a `British Isles` even if there is no longer a `Britain`.
So one could say the first person from the British Isles since…
Not a huge difference from now really.


Margot Says:

@Patson
Well, as Andy was “British” when he won the slam, guess we can keep “the first Brit since..” accolade.
BTW Andy can’t vote, thank goodness cos the media would be hounding him otherwise, he doesn’t live in Scotland.


Kimberly Says:

Margot did you do a bracket? Not seeing you in the standings. LMK if you need any help on this site. My mother, grandmajoan even picked bracket !

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