ATP Monte Carlo QF Picks: Punter Alert
by Richard Vach | April 19th, 2007, 2:22 pm

Alright Euro-punters and U.S. off-shore tennis betters, you know who you are and probably so does your government — Friday’s picks for quarterfinal play at the Masters Series event in Monte Carlo, where you know a tournament is bringing serious entertainment when they feature Roger Federer and Rafael Nadal, AND are in the process of suing the ATP:

(10) Tomas Berdych (CZE) vs. Robin Soderling (SWE)
Take the upset. The goofy 6-foot-3 Swede is highly underrated on clay, and stays under the radar because he has a hard time staying uninjured. Berdych is not a great mover on the dirt, nor is his flat-hitting style suited for it. Soderling has won their last two meetings, both on hardcourts, and this is their first meeting on clay.

(1) Roger Federer vs. (12) David Ferrer (ESP)
Ferrer blew what would have been a marquee meeting in this round by upsetting hot-handed Serb Novak Djokovic, who foretold of his own demise earlier in the event when he ran hot and cold against the marvelous headcase Gaston Gaudio. Now Ferrer faces the world No. 1, who mauled him 6-1, 6-3 in their only previous meeting on clay last year at Monte Carlo. Federer can be bothered by players who can bounce it up shoulder-high on him on clay, but unfortunately Ferrer hits a flatter ball that sits nicely in the Swiss’ wheelhouse. Ferrer’s only chance is if Federer is mentally off from yelling at bumbling ATP President Etienne de Villers this week in Monte Carlo.

(16) Juan Carlos Ferrero (ESP) vs. (11) Richard Gasquet (FRA)
Haven’t seen Ferrero play yet this week — is he still using that blacked-out old Prince Graphite that makes his groundstrokes look like they can barely reach the backstop? Juan Carlos is washed up unfortunately, and under regular circumstances the nod would go to the future superstar Gasquet, but “Baby Fed” has been experiencing a lot of shoulder problems this week, compounded by some long matches. A toss-up with the injury factor, but we’ll go with Baby Fed muddling through in this first-time meeting between the two players.

(2) Rafael Nadal (ESP) vs. (Q) Philipp Kohlschreiber (GER)
Nadal has had a couple tough matches against the German over the last six years on the tour and challenger levels, but Kohlschreiber’s battery will be low after grinding through the qualies and enduring some long wins this week. Look for Nadal to put him on the side-to-side Merry-Go-Round a few times before easing to a straight-set win — too bad as a fresher Kohlschreiber would have made it an interesting match with that *sweet* one-handed backhand. Can anyone stop the Nadal-Fed final? Unlikely. Bet the house, and happy wagering.

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14 Comments for ATP Monte Carlo QF Picks: Punter Alert

beerme Says:

i agree except for ferrero. juan carlos is not done! king carlos will rise again and smite you!

funches Says:

Ferrero might win 6-3, 6-3 or he might lose 6-3, 6-3. His history the last few years indicates it will be the latter. He rarely beats top players anymore.

Berdych is a better big-match player than Soderling. I’d make that one a tossup.

Roger Federer Says:

I won’t be able to beat Nadal yet, but I will make him so tired after three Master Series finals, Monte Carlo, Roma and Hamburg, so he can kiss my bottom in Paris.

Joseph O'Brien Says:

I think Ferrero might just edge “Baby Fed”, Ferrero played quiet well in his last match and showed us a good bit of the tennis that took him to the french open title and number one ranking. Also gasquet had very long matched the last 2 days and also won a tough doubles match today so he could slighly fatigued. But I do very much agree. Federer-nadal final is lookin extremly likely. Federer is my bet to win the title. I think he will have a few surprises for us when he makes the final.

Rafael Nadal Says:

Unfortunately, Roger has not taken into account that I have an edge on him in endurance, so I will be the one who once again wins Roland Garros. I still respect him, no?

tennischick Says:

The player who MOVES best wins on clay. No one moves better than Rafa. AND he’s on fire this week. Fed has not made it through as effortlessly (even with an easier draw). Boldly predicting Fed will fall to Soderling in semis. Moooowahahahaha.

Ari Shuza Says:

umm…tennischick, federer and soderling aren’t even in the same half of the draw!

my semi predictions:

fed VS ferrero
nadal VS berdych

fed VS berdych

how about that!

Macaroni Says:

I’m pulling for gasquet. and ther’s no way nadal is going to lose to berdych! I think nadal will win.

zola Says:

Dear Roger Federer,
didn’t Nadal win three clay tournaments last year ( MC, Rome, Barcelona) and still beat you in RG? You are getting older. He is just blooming!

zola Says:

the links to Nadal April 18 interview ( and you have two of them) are wrong.

Irakli Labadze Says:

Anyone think Fed looks a little fat this tournament? Check out Getty Images….Anyway Federer is going to take down the topspin monkey in the final. No question. Hes going to dominate the clay season, bet on it.

You Nimrod Says:

You’re the one washed up, not Juan Carlos….. take that beatch!

Giner Says:

Your picks are 2 for 2. The only ones you got right were the painfully obvious ones (Nadal and Federer).

Nice try though.

Andrew Miller Says:

Richard: is it too much of a stretch to say that Gisela Dulko looked anorexic in her win at Budapest? It is a big accusation, but it appears the photos bear this out?

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