2014 ATP Finals Profile: Roger Federer
by Sean Randall | November 7th, 2014, 12:17 pm
  • 48 Comments

ROGER FEDERER
Age: 33

Current ATP Rank: 2

2014 Highlights: 5 titles – Basel, Shanghai, Cincinnati, Halle, Dubai; Finalist at Wimbledon, Indian Wells, Monte Carlo and Canada

ATP Finals History: 13th appearance, 6-time champion, 2-time finalist (8 finals in 12 tries)

Notable Stat: Has qualified and played 13 straight years, making it out of the round-robin stage 11 of 12 times

Finals Outlook: Arguably the most decorated player who has ever played the ATP Finals, Federer has won the title a record six times, virtually always making it out of the pesky round robin stage (11 of 12). Indoors, quick courts, big event and he’s playing well – Roger’s won 14 of his last 15 – all suggest another deep run for the Swiss. This year, though, Federer won’t have any easy matches in Group B. Raonic just beat him. Nishikori is an in-form rising star and then there’s the resurgent Murray. That said, Raonic and Nishikori are making their debuts so I have to favor Federer’s experience, and I’d be surprised if he lost either. Murray’s been the hotter player of late, so a loss to the Scot wouldn’t come as a shock. In the bigger picture, I don’t see Roger beating Novak here. So if he can somehow avoid running into the Serb on the weekend (esp on Saturday) then I think a seventh title will follow. Otherwise, he’ll be the betting favorite to win every time he steps on the court. And don’t forget, he’s got an even bigger Davis Cup tie the week after.

Swing Match: v Murray

Projected Finish: Second in Group B (2-1)

Next player evaluation: Novak Djokovic


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48 Comments for 2014 ATP Finals Profile: Roger Federer

SG1 Says:

Roger Federer???…never heard of him.


RZ Says:

@SG1 – it’s because he’s an underachiever. LOL


SG1 Says:

Ahhh…well than explains it then.


brando GOAT poster Says:

” So if he can somehow avoid running into”: a comment that perfectly encapsulates Federer post 2008. Him succeeding? Only if he avoids x,y and z. Good luck to Fed: like his fans I hope he avoids his way to the title. ๐Ÿ˜›


SG1 Says:

Look…if Roger’s in the right place mentally and he serves well, I like him…even against Novak. This is one of the places he dominates and it would generate some awesome Karma going into the Davis Cup final. I’d like to see him pull it off.


SG1 Says:

All this being said, I see Murray as the “dark horse” if there is such a thing in an 8 man field. He’s playing better than pretty much everyone else right now. He knows how to beat Novak and he’s beaten Roger his share of times at non-slam events.


Okiegal Says:

I have noticed that little word “if” is the most used word on TX……”If” I had time I would count every time it’s used……just for grins! LOL. Don’t have time, unfortunately……..


TennisVagabond.com Says:

Roger will escape his group. I don’t know why he should be fearful of Novak, he dominated him in their last match and is 3-2 on the year.


Giles Says:

@brando. “I hope he avoids his way to the title”. LOL


Ben Pronin Says:

Post 2008??? The only person Federer has ever needed to avoid is Nadal. He’s beaten Djokovic a ton of times in big and small matches. Same for Murray and pretty much everyone else.

I agree with TV. I think this time around Djokovic might want to avoid Federer. Especially nowadays when Federer really relishes beating Djokovic.


TennisVagabond.com Says:

17 grand slams. 6 WTF. Longest reign at #1. Obviously a master of avoidance.


elina Says:

if GOAT

mew! :)


elina Says:

You guys! I for one believe that Roger will win this year and he will beat Novak should they meet.


Brando GOAT Poster Says:

@Giles:

LOL, cannot help myself from these cheap laughters. I’ll stop now.

My take on Roger Federer’s chances at WTF:

It completely and utterly depends on the speed of the court I feel.

It’s that simple.

Should they be quick: then he’s atleast a co-favurite with Novak I think, and i’d give him the edge even since at his best he probably is still the best fast court talent on the tour I feel.

Should the courts be slow (as in recent years): Then I think Novak quite clearly is ahead of him. And depending on how he plays maybe even Andy Murray might fancy his chances against Fed.

Now of course Fed can win at any court speed but my reason for such thought is:

Just look at his WINS since turning 31 in August 12′:

1. Cincinnati: Aug 2012
2. Halle: 2013
3. Dubai: 2014
4. Halle: 2014
5. Cincinnati: 2014
6. Shanghai: 2014
7. Basel: 2014

That’s it. Those are the events he has won in the last 2 1/2 years since turning 31. And just looking at them one sees immediately that:

The court speed in all those events is reasonably quicker than most other places on tour.

Cincinnati, Dubai and Shanghai may just be the 3 quickest Outdoor HC events on tour and Basel being Indoor and Halle being Grass are hardly on the slow side either. They are still quicker than most places on tour.

So to me it clearly indicates that the quicker the court, the better Fed’s chance of winning realistically. And some commentators would even have forecasted this about Fed in his 30′s:

His best chances lie on the quicker courts since whilst he can compete on the slower ones his chances of success will decrease in comparison to that he had in his 20′s.

So in summary:

IF the courts are quick I’ll say Fed is the favourite. Winning Dubai, Basel, Halle, Cincy and Shanghai this year suggests his fast court game is booming and well.

IF they are slow *as I suspect they will be judging on recent year WTF courts) then he’s atleast behind Nole for me and possibly Andy even if Muzza clicks.

He can win regardless of the speed of the court: but quite obviously- like anyone- his chances are affected by the environment in which he plays.

My 2 cents.


jane Says:

this is a nice picture of the final 8!
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/B13LnymIAAAlQbF.jpg


elina Says:

It took three sets for Novak to beat Roger at the WTF last year.

Before Roger had fully recovered from his back problems

Before Roger’s new racquet.

I believe Roger, with the crowd behind him plus his renewed confidence, will carry him to the title whether his road goes through Novak or not.


TennisVagabond.com Says:

Brando, good points. Tend to agree. Either one you think will win, I’d love to see a Fed/ Novak match, I still think they are one of the most entertaining match ups in tennis.


jane Says:

^ yes, it almost always produces tight matches with tense competition and great shot-making. they often bring their best for each other.

elina, i think nole beat fed in 2 sets the previous year. still, it’s true fed’s changed his racquet and added more forward momentum to his game, which could be an important factor, should he and nole meet.


ANEL BOJANA Says:

Jane, Nole won in 3 last year in RR,but in 2012 in the final he won in two.Let hope Nole will do well this year too. All the best to You too.


jane Says:

hi bojana, that’s what i thought. yes, cheers to you and idemo to nole! :)


Humble Rafa Says:

This post has no legitimacy since Skeeze wasn’t the first one to respond. Did he bless this?


Hippy Chick Says:

IMO Roger will make the final and lose to Novak in probably two or three tight sets….


skeezer Says:

Just because Humble gets beat once in a blue moon posting first on a thread doesn’t mean the end of the world. Everyone knows Humble posts first most of the time.


brando GOAT poster Says:

I am not going to lie: I think the ongoing, legendary rivalry of Humble Rafa v Skeezer that has fortunately graced us here at TX makes for far more compulsive viewing than whatever rafa v fed can offer. I mean forgot those guys and their forehand, backhand exchanges: some of the subtle shots by these 2 are just priceless to behold. Mentions of feeding cats by one, failed comedy by the other, talk of humbleness by one, shameless showing off by the other: lmfao, they make the cold war look like stuff of adolescents! Gents: I register my appreciation of this great rivalry, long May reign supreme!๐Ÿ‘Œ๐Ÿ‘


Hippy Chick Says:

Humble Skeezer….


brando GOAT poster Says:

PS: I can also not be the only one to appreciate TX advertising that beauty on behalf of that dating website down below, what a gem of a shot! The kinda of stuff that can make you feel warm whatever the despairing English weather forecast may provide! I thank you on behalf of my male brethren here on this site for that pleasant sight TX! ๐Ÿ˜œ


SG1 Says:

At least skeezer doesnt pretend to be federer…no?


brando GOAT poster Says:

He doesn’t, but he doesn’t miss a chance to show off his record …..just like the man himself,lol!๐Ÿ˜›


Hippy Chick Says:

SG1 i was only teasing with the Humble Skeezer comment….


Humble Rafa Says:

Contrary to popular belief, I do like 2 of Skeeze’s 3 cats.


michael Says:

What is there to say about this legend who has attained the pinnacle of glory in Tennis and who is a living example and inspiration for the younger generation. It amazes me as to how this man still manages to attain motivation and set future goals when he has achieved all that a player could aspire and yearn for. He is the centre of excellence and role model for the sport. As tennis fans, it is our best fortune that three of the very best the sport has known are playing simultaneously.

As regards his chances at WTF, well as Brando rightly explained, the quicker is better for Roger. Iam not sure how the surface would play out and so I reserve my comments.


michael Says:

Brando – great post as usual. You are apt to become a tennis columnist.


skeezer Says:

“You are apt to become a tennis columnist”
LMAO. Funniest post ever!


michael Says:

Skeezer, honestly what is funny there ? I fail to decipher. If you could throw some light on the intricacies of what you actually mean, it would be useful and we can too share the humour behind the comment.


Hippy Chick Says:

Michael put it this way not so great when insulting people personally,as for been a tennis columist that honour should go to you ;))….


Michael Says:

Alison,

Thanks !! Still not sure whether I deserve that honour ? But you have always been effusive when it comes to conferring compliments and that is a luxury not many can afford for it requires a clean and big heart.


Hippy Chick Says:

Michael you certainly do,i love your posts,just love them :))….


Michael Says:

Alison,

Thanks once again !! It always feels great to interact with you. I too love our exchanges.


Hippy Chick Says:

How about it Tennis-X staff,why not let Michael write a thread for posters to blog on,like the time you let Ben Pronin?….


madmax Says:

brando GOAT poster Says:
He doesnโ€™t, but he doesnโ€™t miss a chance to show off his record โ€ฆ..just like the man himself,lol!๐Ÿ˜›

November 7th, 2014 at 6:38 pm

At least he doesn’t hide behind fake platitudes, humilities and injuries.

Have you ever known anyone get up and about after a potentially “serious operation?”

Really. What is going on?

Brando, you are becoming tiresome with your snidey digs at fed and skeezer. You need a break and some time out to reflect on a lacklustre year.


Hippy Chick Says:

How about it Tennis-X staff,why not let Michael have a thread for posters to blog on like you did with Ben Pronin one time?


Hippy Chick Says:

Excuse the double post,as the first one didnt come up,dont know why?….


Sean Randall Says:

Hippy, sure. If Michael would like to he certainly can. He can email us at contact at tennis-x.com.


Hippy Chick Says:

YAY Thanks Sean :))….
Come On Michael,how about it?….


michael Says:

Alison, thanks once again for yr nice gesture. I will certainly go positively forward by taking yr proposal and I thank Sean too for endorsing it. Just give me some time.


contador Says:

“17 grand slams. 6 WTF. Longest reign at #1. Obviously a master of avoidance.” TennisVagabond, Nov. 7, 2:03 pm

ah, nice touch of sanity in the midst of volumes of hot air


TennisLand Says:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-1yfWb0-jqQ

vs.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WYPgViK6oxU

the court speed??.. what the ****!!! the ball just stays up to be hit with plenty time to get around it.. purposefully changed??

screw the ATP for screwing up all the court speeds.. why not play clay all through out the year.. oh that’s rite, it will be too obvious…

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