Thanks to his incredible title today at the Shanghai Rolex Masters, Roger Federer is “just” 990 points behind No. 1 Novak Djokovic in the year-end race for the No. 1 ranking.
990 points might seem like a lot but it isn’t when you consider Federer still has over 3,000 points left on his schedule.
Federer will next play Basel (500 points), Paris (1,000 points) and London (1,500 points). Plus, if he needs it he could earn more points winning in the Davis Cup final.
If Federer were to win Basel, he’d shave that lead down to just 490 points, a deficit he would overcome by making the Paris finals, assuming Djokovic lost before the QFs there.
Djokovic is scheduled for Paris and London, and one if not both of those events could be in doubt depending on the birth of his child which is expected at the end of this month.
Rafael Nadal, who is fighting appendicitis, is still mathematically alive in the No. 1 Race also but would have to win Paris and London to have a chance. The Spaniard is also playing in Basel.
In the London race, the ATP officially qualified Stan Wawrinka today. As long as Wawrinka stays in the Top 8 – highly likely – Marin Cilic also will get a spot in the London event (the Grand Slam wildcard rule dictates the next highest ranked Grand Slam winner not in the Top 8 automatically qualifies).
Andy Murray could move into the Top 8 by reaching the Vienna final. David Ferrer, who is just ahead of Murray, is also playing in Vienna.
“I haven’t been in this position for a while, so in some ways it’s kind of new,” said Murray who will also play Valencia next week. “But I’m enjoying it so far. Just giving me a little bit of extra focus and direction for the last few tournaments.”
Regardless of who wins this week the idle Kei Nishikori will stay in his fifth position and in excellent shape to qualify.
Tsonga, Gulbis and Lopez are the only other players still mathematically in the hunt to reach London.
ATP Race to London Standings as of October 13, 2014
1 Novak Djokovic 9,010*
2 Roger Federer 8,020*
3 Rafael Nadal 6,745*
4 Stan Wawrinka 4,805*
5 Kei Nishikori 4,265
6 Marin Cilic 3,990+ (Moscow)
7 Tomas Berdych 3,945 (Stockholm)
8 Milos Raonic 3,750 (Moscow)
9 David Ferrer 3,715 (Vienna)
10 Andy Murray 3,655 (Vienna)
11 Grigor Dimitrov 3,450 (Stockholm)
* = clinched London berth; + = Grand Slam champion wilcard London berth
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