ATP Race To London: Thiem, Berdych, Goffin Cilic, Bautista Agut Fighting For Final Spot
by Sean Randall | October 19th, 2016, 12:09 pm

The ATP has only officially qualified five of the eight spots based on math, but reality is seven of them are taken with just one spot left.

Gael Monfils and Rafael Nadal and Dominic Thiem are going to get in (unless Paris is absolute mayhem) so the final spot will go down to Dominic Thiem, Tomas Berdych, David Goffin, Marin Cilic or Roberto Bautista Agut who is playing this week in Moscow.

Next week, Cilic and Goffin are both playing in Basel (alongside Nadal, Raonic and Nishikori) while Berdych and RBA are in Vienna with Andy Murray and Dominic Thiem.

And with Paris a huge player in this, you have to think a guy who won there before in Berdych is the favorite to do well enough this homestretch to clinch that final spot.

The ATP “Race” leaderboard going into today:
1 Novak Djokovic 10600
2 Andy Murray 9685
3 Stan Wawrinka 5060
4 Milos Raonic 4690
5 Kei Nishikori 4360

6 Gael Monfils 3625 (playing Stockholm R16 Thurs)
7 Rafael Nadal 3300
8 Dominic Thiem 3205
9 Tomas Berdych 2880
10 David Goffin 2645
11 Marin Cilic 2590
12 Nick Kyrgios 2460 (banned)
13 Roberto Bautista Agut 2340 (playing Stockholm R16 Thurs)

A couple guys further down on the list are Frenchmen Lucas Pouille and JW Tsonga, who both could do serious damage in Paris. But we’ll see.

Obviously, the big drama on the men’s tour is the race for the No. 1 ranking between Djokovic and Murray. I’ll have more on that in another post.

The ATP Finals begin on November 13.

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20 Comments for ATP Race To London: Thiem, Berdych, Goffin Cilic, Bautista Agut Fighting For Final Spot

elina Says:

Nadal won’t be playing WTF exho because he has hinted that he’ll be shutting down his season early to focus on practice.

But we’re talking about practice man. What are we talking about? Practice? We’re talking about practice, man. We’re talking about practice. We’re talking about practice. We ain’t talking about the game. We’re talking about practice, man.

Willow Says:

I Hope Rafa doesnt play the YECs, especially given the year hes had, his form this year, and given the wrist is still not right, it would be wise to shut down for the year IMO ….

elina Says:

“The ATP has only officially qualified five of the eight spots based on math, but reality is seven of them are taken with just one spot left.

Gael Monfils, Rafael Nadal and Dominic Thiem are going to get in”

Ummm,that’s eight already, not seven.

Math is hard.

Khb Says:

It doesn’t look like Novak wishes to play either. He does 5 things with glee, but playing isn’t one of them!
Apparently, the best 15 months is no different the worst 15 months.
Puzzling. He needs to stop forcing himself do exhibitions, and travel around and give a bunch of interviews. There’s nothing peaceful about falling on your face.

dryeagle Says:

I think a 20 year reunion of the 96 finals would be better that included Sampras, Becker, Goran, Agassi, Chang, Muster, Krajicek playing on a fast indoor surface. Capped off with an epic Sampras-Becker five setter, a classic year end championship final.

elina Says:

Wait Sean you mean just because you made a math mistake that Thiem is now suddenly struggling for a spot whereas before he had it pretty much locked up?

I feel so guilty now if he doesn’t make it.

I hadn’t realized that you an I had so much power!

RZ Says:

@Elina – If Thiem doesn’t make it now, us Team Thiem members are going to blame you! :-)

elina Says:

I shouldn’t have said anything RZ!!! Sorry!!!

I guess Sean had no choice – either make it like Thiem was now on the bubble or admit that WTF was indeed virtually settled and scrap his article altogether!

Poor Dominic!

Giles Says:
Yesterday Rafa launched his new Academy.
SEAN – I think this is worthy of a new thread?

geoff Says:

Enough with the Latest, Novak, Roger, Rafa, Serena homepage format already!

Switch the format back to all current / topical stories, please!

We want news and analysis, to learn about the game we love.

Others may have commented on this, now I’m joining in. Bet you thousands of others feel the same! Maybe ask us for our input??

Giles Says:
That’s right, start as you mean to go on.

RZ Says:

Breaking news – Nadal shuts down his season to heal his wrist.

RZ Says:

With this sad news, Thiem is more likely to make it in, so Elina may be able to avoid the fury of Team Thiem. 😁

elina Says:

True RZ, as I’d already pointed out to Sean in my first post. :)

RZ Says:

@elina – forgot to mention earlier, I love the Allen Iverson “practice” quote. ALways makes me laugh.

Van Persie Says:

Agree with Geoff October 20th, 2016 at 1:33 pm, the format should change.

Tennis Vagabond Says:

Nobody is spilling a drop for Ferrer! He is missing the Final Eight for the first time since ’09! With his 8-14 record, who will take over his mantle as whipping boy of the elite? Kei?

In other rankings news…
Del Potro has a long way to go with Dmitrov in his half in Stockholm but… IF he gets the 250 points, he will be on the cusp of breaking into the seedings for Slams, and with a couple tourneys left, would likely be seeded for Australia. What a story!

RZ Says:

@TV – I’ll shed a tear for Ferrer, who always worked hard and fought hard on the court and almost never fussed. He might have had a horrendous record against the Big 4, but for a few years he was the solid #5 player and for many years was a solid top 10 player. I think he’s a good role model for up-and-coming players, showing what can be accomplished via hard work to get into peak physical form.

Annie Says:

RAFAEL has shut down his season to allow his wrist to heal fully. He interrupted its healing to participate in the Olympics trying to win a medal for Spain, which he did w/Marc Lopez. That was his last chance to partake of the Olympic experience which he so enjoyed in 2008 when he won the gold. Give the guy a break.

Stop moanin’ & groanin’ that he quit the season…etc etc etc. Show some respect for the great champion that he is & will always be!
Only he lives in his body and truly knows how much pain he is in at any given point in time.

RAFA take good care of yourself during this down time & we will be eagerly awaiting your return to the Aussie Open or one of the warm-ups to the AO! Merry Christmas & a Very Happy New Year! When I’m eating my 12 grapes on NY Eve, I will be thinking of you doing the same…6 hours ahead of me ; ) Love you Babe!

Top story: Djokovic, Nadal Resume Grand Slam Chase At Wimbledon; Berrettini In Nadal Half