Poll: Who’ll Dominate On The Dirt? Will Nadal Resume His Reign Or Can Djokovic Breakthrough In Paris?
The clay season starts in a week, so let’s ask the tough question, who’ll come out on top when the tour turns red?
Rafael Nadal is the head-and-shoulders favorite. He’s the standard bearer, but Novak Djokovic has beaten him three straight times and nearly ended his French reign last year. So can Nadal be toppled?
A look at the favorites:
Rafael Nadal
The case for…
* 8-time French Open champion and the King of Clay, no one is close, etc, etc, etc
* Healthy again (knees, back)
* Few real clay threats
The case against…
* Will turn 28 during the French
* Isn’t playing as well as he was a year ago
* A new back injury made an appearance earlier this year, might it return?
* Eventually has to lose again in Paris, right?
* Few wins over top rivals since the US Open (0-3 vs Djokovic since)
Novak Djokovic
The case for…
* Is back in form after a slow start to the year
* Has won three straight over Nadal, all in easy fashion
* Beat Nadal in Monte Carlo last year
* Arguably should have beat Nadal at the French also last year
* Has been injury-free
* Has been dominating his rivals (only 2 Top 10 losses since US Open)
* Won’t have to play Rafa until final this year (if rankings hold)
The case against…
* Has never won the French
* Clay is not his best surface
* Little that Boris Becker teach him about the dirt, Wimbledon yes, French no
* Is he really back to his fall form?
* What if he plays Wawrinka on clay?
* Might have to play Rafa in the French finals – career Slam, first French, beating Rafa all on the line at same time could be overwhelming!
Other contenders
* Stanislas Wawrinka: Maybe the biggest threat outside of the Top 2, and loves the clay. But has only made the French quarters once and since his Australian Open title hasn’t played up to par.
* Roger Federer: Former champion did make the Rome final last year, and he’s playing better now. At 32, though, hard to see him beating Nadal and Djokovic to win another French unless we see a lot of upsets.
* Andy Murray: Once reached the SFs but this year has to be focused on Wimbledon title defense.
* David Ferrer: Like Federer, at 32 (turns 32 tomorrow) will need help via upsets/injuries to make it back to the finals because even on his favorite surface it’s going to be tough for him to beat Nadal or Djokovic.
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